Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Stark's Park

Raith

3 - 1

Elgin City

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Virtanen M.

28'

Girvan K.

Own Goal

36'

Sub

Oakley G. In: Lyall A.

Out: Oakley G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Raith in this League Cup matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Raith.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Raith

33%

Draws

27%

Elgin City

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Raith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Raith have won more games recently than Elgin City.
Raith are the model's pick here, at 40%.
It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal League Cup game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Raith have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Raith Clean Sheet 15%

Elgin City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Raith	Elgin City
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	13	10
Draws	6	8
Losses	10	13
Goals Scored	2.25	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 League Cup

Raith vs Elgin City

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 3 - 3

3:1

Jul 12, 2025 League Cup

Elgin City vs Raith

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

1:5

Nov 15, 2019 Challenge Cup

Raith vs Elgin City

Possession: 60% - 56% Cards: 4 - 3

3:2

Nov 28, 2015 Scottish Cup

Elgin City vs Raith

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Jul 30, 2005 Challenge Cup

Raith vs Elgin City

Possession: 43% - 40% Cards: 0 - 2

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Raith Compare

Top Goalscorer Montagu K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Millen R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Elgin City Compare

Top Goalscorer Colloty O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raith 39 / 100

Elgin City 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Raith Elgin City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 6:3

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elgin City let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Raith's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Raith remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Raith VS Elgin City

2.25 Goals Scored 1.75

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63

100% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Queen's Park	2	2	0	5:1	6
2	Aberdeen	1	1	0	2:0	3
3	Kelty Hearts	2	1	1	1:3	2
4	Queen of the South	1	0	1	1:1	1
5	Brora Rangers	2	0	2	1:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Stirling	2	1	1	3:2	3
2	Arbroath	1	1	0	2:1	3
3	Montrose	1	1	0	1:0	3
4	Dundee Utd	2	1	1	1:1	3
5	Spartans	2	0	2	2:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	St. Mirren	1	1	0	4:0	3
2	East Kilbride	2	1	1	5:3	3
3	Cove Rangers	1	1	0	3:2	3
4	Dunfermline	2	1	1	4:4	3
5	Dumbarton	2	0	2	1:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Dundee FC	2	2	0	9:2	6
2	Ross County	1	1	0	4:1	3
3	Clyde	1	1	0	1:0	3
4	Airdrieonians	2	0	2	2:5	0
5	Annan	2	0	2	1:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Partick	2	2	0	10:0	6
2	Livingston	1	1	0	2:0	3
3	Stenhousemuir	1	1	0	2:0	3
4	Forfar Athletic	2	0	2	0:6	0
5	Brechin	2	0	2	0:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	East Fife	2	1	1	3:1	4
2	St Johnstone	1	1	0	2:0	3
3	Linlithgow Rose	2	1	1	1:2	3
4	Inverness	1	1	0	1:1	2
5	Morton	2	0	2	0:3	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Ayr	2	2	0	4:2	6
2	Falkirk	2	1	1	5:1	3
3	Edinburgh City	2	1	1	2:5	3
4	Stranraer	1	0	1	2:3	0
5	Alloa	1	0	1	0:2	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Raith	2	1	1	3:1	4
2	Peterhead	2	1	1	3:2	3
3	Hamilton	1	1	0	1:0	3
4	Kilmarnock	1	1	0	0:0	2
5	Elgin City	2	0	2	2:6	0