Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy

Raith

3 - 1

Elgin City

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Virtanen M.

28'

Girvan K.

Own Goal

36'

Sub

Oakley G. In: Lyall A.

Out: Oakley G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Raith

15%

Draws

48%

Elgin City

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elgin City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Raith have won more games recently than Elgin City.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Raith have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Raith, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Raith have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Raith Clean Sheet 13%

Elgin City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Raith	Elgin City
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	14	12
Draws	5	6
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.48	1.97
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.41
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 League Cup

Raith vs Elgin City

3:1

Jul 12, 2025 League Cup

Elgin City vs Raith

1:5

Nov 15, 2019 Challenge Cup

Raith vs Elgin City

3:2

Nov 28, 2015 Scottish Cup

Elgin City vs Raith

1:2

Jul 30, 2005 Challenge Cup

Raith vs Elgin City

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Raith Compare

Top Goalscorer Montagu K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Millen R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Elgin City Compare

Top Goalscorer Colloty O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.51

Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raith 31 / 100

Elgin City 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Raith Elgin City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Raith scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Elgin City conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Raith stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Raith VS Elgin City

1.14 Goals Scored 2.88

0.43 Goals Conceded 1.13

57% Over 1.5 100%

14% Over 2.5 75%

14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Raith

(Home)

25 Sept

Raith

0 : 2

Livingston

19 Sept

Partick

0 : 0

Raith

12 Sept

Raith

4 : 0

Arbroath

05 Sept

Inverness

0 : 2

Raith

28 Aug

Dunfermline

1 : 0

Raith

Page 1 of 6

Elgin City

(Away)

26 Sept

Peterhead

0 : 1

Elgin City

22 Sept

Elgin City

3 : 0

Dundee FC B

19 Sept

Elgin City

1 : 5

Stranraer

12 Sept

Annan

2 : 0

Elgin City

08 Sept

Elgin City

7 : 0

Fraserburgh

Page 1 of 6