Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
O'Connor D.
40'
40'
Cameron F.
Assist: Aitken K.
51'
51'
Brown S.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-2, with Raith advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Hamilton carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Hamilton arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Raith, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Raith Clean Sheet 20%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Raith | Hamilton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 League Cup
Hamilton vs Raith
2:1
Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Raith vs Hamilton
2:2
Dec 9, 2025 Challenge Cup
Raith vs Hamilton
5:2
Mar 29, 2025 Championship
Hamilton vs Raith
0:3
Feb 22, 2025 Championship
Raith vs Hamilton
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Raith Compare
Top Goalscorer Rowe J.
3 Goals Assists Leader O'Connor D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Hamilton Compare
Top Goalscorer Cameron F.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Raith 32 / 100
Hamilton 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Raith Hamilton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Raith found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Recent resilience: Raith stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Hamilton has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Raith VS Hamilton
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Raith
(Home) 19 Sept
Partick
0 : 0 Raith
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0 Arbroath
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2 Raith
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0 Raith
22 Aug
Raith
2 : 0 Ayr
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12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0 Arbroath
22 Aug
Raith
2 : 0 Ayr
01 Aug
Raith
1 : 1 Stenhousemuir
24 Jul
Raith
0 : 1 Hearts
21 Jul
Raith
1 : 0 Peterhead
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Hamilton
(Away) 19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1 Queen of the South
08 Sept
Spartans
0 : 4 Hamilton
05 Sept
East Kilbride
0 : 1 Hamilton
29 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 0 Cove Rangers
25 Aug
Hamilton
0 : 1 Edinburgh City
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08 Sept
Spartans
0 : 4 Hamilton
05 Sept
East Kilbride
0 : 1 Hamilton
22 Aug
East Fife
0 : 0 Hamilton
01 Aug
Montrose
0 : 5 Hamilton
21 Jul
Kilmarnock
1 : 0 Hamilton
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Arbroath 3
Kelty Hearts 2
Elgin City 2
East Fife 3
Alloa 2
Airdrieonians 3
Montrose 2
Spartans 1
Queen's Park 2
Clyde 1
Forfar Athletic 2
Edinburgh City 1
Raith 5
Hamilton 2
Queen of the South 4
Dunfermline 3
Hearts B 0
St Johnstone 1
Ross County 4
Celtic B 0
Ayr 2
Peterhead 1
East Kilbride 1
Stranraer 4
Cove Rangers 1
Partick 2
Dumbarton 0
Inverness 9
Stirling 3
Morton 2
Stenhousemuir 2
Annan 0
1/8-finals
Arbroath 3
East Fife 0
Airdrieonians 3
Montrose 1
Queen's Park 2
Forfar Athletic 0
Raith 1
Queen of the South 0
St Johnstone 2
Ross County 0
Ayr 4
Stranraer 1
Partick 3
Inverness 4
Stirling 1
Stenhousemuir 2
Quarter-finals
Arbroath 2
Airdrieonians 3
Queen's Park 1
Raith 2
St Johnstone 3
Ayr 4
Inverness 1
Stenhousemuir 0
Semi-finals
Airdrieonians 1
Raith 2
Ayr 1
Inverness 2
Final
Raith 4
Inverness 1
