Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Raith vs Inverness - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Championship Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Raith host Inverness in the Championship. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Raith have averaged 1.62 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Inverness's 1.52 scored and 1.24 conceded. Past meetings favor Raith slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.69 - 1.00) back Raith to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Raith
20%
Draws
40%
Inverness
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Raith lately — more wins on the board than Inverness.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Raith taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Raith here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Raith Clean Sheet 20%
Inverness Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raith Inverness
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 3 9
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.62 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Championship
Inverness vs Raith
0:2
Apr 5, 2026 Challenge Cup
Raith vs Inverness
4:1
Jul 26, 2025 League Cup
Raith vs Inverness
5:1
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Raith vs Inverness
1:0
Apr 19, 2024 Championship
Inverness vs Raith
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raith 42 / 100
Inverness 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raith Inverness

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Raith scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Inverness conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Raith stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Raith VS Inverness
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Raith

(Home)
10 Oct
Raith
2 : 0
Queen's Park
03 Oct
Morton
1 : 2
Raith
25 Sept
Raith
0 : 2
Livingston
19 Sept
Partick
0 : 0
Raith
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0
Arbroath
Page 1 of 6

Inverness

(Away)
13 Oct
Queen's Park
2 : 1
Inverness
10 Oct
Inverness
2 : 0
Stenhousemuir
25 Sept
Inverness
2 : 0
Morton
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3
Inverness
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 9 7 1 1 12:4 22
2 Raith 10 6 2 2 15:6 20
3 Partick 9 5 3 1 10:3 18
4 Livingston 10 4 1 5 14:11 13
5 Dunfermline 8 3 4 1 7:5 13
6 Inverness 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
7 Ayr 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
8 Arbroath 10 3 2 5 7:15 11
9 Queen's Park 10 2 1 7 6:16 7
10 Morton 10 1 1 8 7:18 4
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)