Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Cameron I.
37'
37'
Stewart A.
53'
53'
Zimba C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-1, with Raith advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Raith
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Raith come out ahead of Inverness on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Raith's way, sitting at 90%.
- Raith have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Raith, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Raith have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Raith Clean Sheet 68%
Inverness Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Raith | Inverness |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Championship
Inverness vs Raith
0:2
Apr 5, 2026 Challenge Cup
Raith vs Inverness
4:1
Jul 26, 2025 League Cup
Raith vs Inverness
5:1
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Raith vs Inverness
1:0
Apr 19, 2024 Championship
Inverness vs Raith
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Raith Compare
Top Goalscorer Cameron I.
2 Goals Assists Leader Easton D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Inverness Compare
Top Goalscorer Stewart A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Raith 95 / 100
Inverness 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Raith Inverness
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Raith Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Raith's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Inverness has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Raith went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Raith VS Inverness
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Raith
(Home) 12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0 Arbroath
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2 Raith
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0 Raith
22 Aug
Raith
2 : 0 Ayr
08 Aug
Queen's Park
1 : 2 Raith
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0 Arbroath
22 Aug
Raith
2 : 0 Ayr
01 Aug
Raith
1 : 1 Stenhousemuir
24 Jul
Raith
0 : 1 Hearts
21 Jul
Raith
1 : 0 Peterhead
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Inverness
(Away) 12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3 Inverness
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2 Raith
29 Aug
Stenhousemuir
3 : 1 Inverness
21 Aug
Inverness
1 : 1 Partick
16 Aug
Hearts
6 : 2 Inverness
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3 Inverness
29 Aug
Stenhousemuir
3 : 1 Inverness
16 Aug
Hearts
6 : 2 Inverness
08 Aug
Arbroath
0 : 0 Inverness
25 Jul
Morton
0 : 1 Inverness
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Arbroath 3
Kelty Hearts 2
Elgin City 2
East Fife 3
Alloa 2
Airdrieonians 3
Montrose 2
Spartans 1
Queen's Park 2
Clyde 1
Forfar Athletic 2
Edinburgh City 1
Raith 5
Hamilton 2
Queen of the South 4
Dunfermline 3
Hearts B 0
St Johnstone 1
Ross County 4
Celtic B 0
Ayr 2
Peterhead 1
East Kilbride 1
Stranraer 4
Cove Rangers 1
Partick 2
Dumbarton 0
Inverness 9
Stirling 3
Morton 2
Stenhousemuir 2
Annan 0
1/8-finals
Arbroath 3
East Fife 0
Airdrieonians 3
Montrose 1
Queen's Park 2
Forfar Athletic 0
Raith 1
Queen of the South 0
St Johnstone 2
Ross County 0
Ayr 4
Stranraer 1
Partick 3
Inverness 4
Stirling 1
Stenhousemuir 2
Quarter-finals
Arbroath 2
Airdrieonians 3
Queen's Park 1
Raith 2
St Johnstone 3
Ayr 4
Inverness 1
Stenhousemuir 0
Semi-finals
Airdrieonians 1
Raith 2
Ayr 1
Inverness 2
Final
Raith 4
Inverness 1
