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Raith vs Peterhead

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy
Tue, Jul 21, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the League Cup. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Raith have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Peterhead's 1.75 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Raith have won 3 to Peterhead's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 13, 2022, ending 6:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.50) point toward Raith. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Raith
30%
Draws
34%
Peterhead
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Raith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Raith have won more games recently than Peterhead.
  • Model gives Raith a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Raith have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Raith, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Raith Clean Sheet 16%
Peterhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raith Peterhead
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2022 League Cup
Raith vs Peterhead
6:0
Mar 14, 2020 League One
Peterhead vs Raith
0:0
Jan 4, 2020 League One
Raith vs Peterhead
2:1
Nov 23, 2019 Scottish Cup
Raith vs Peterhead
1:0
Nov 2, 2019 League One
Peterhead vs Raith
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raith 36 / 100
Peterhead 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raith Peterhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Peterhead conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Raith's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Raith has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Raith VS Peterhead
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Raith

(Home)
14 Jul
Kilmarnock
1 : 0
Raith
11 Jul
Raith
3 : 1
Elgin City
30 Jun
Raith
4 : 0
Edinburgh City
27 Jun
Raith
2 : 2
Hamilton
01 May
Raith
3 : 2
Ross County
Page 1 of 6

Peterhead

(Away)
14 Jul
Elgin City
1 : 3
Peterhead
11 Jul
Peterhead
0 : 1
Hamilton
07 Jul
Forfar Athletic
0 : 3
Peterhead
04 Jul
Peterhead
3 : 1
Celtic B
02 Jul
Dundee FC B
1 : 3
Peterhead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Queen's Park22005:16
2Aberdeen11002:03
3Kelty Hearts21011:32
4Queen of the South10011:11
5Brora Rangers20021:50
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stirling21013:23
2Arbroath11002:13
3Montrose11001:03
4Dundee Utd21011:13
5Spartans20022:50
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Mirren11004:03
2East Kilbride21015:33
3Cove Rangers11003:23
4Dunfermline21014:43
5Dumbarton20021:80
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dundee FC22009:26
2Ross County11004:13
3Clyde11001:03
4Airdrieonians20022:50
5Annan20021:90
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick220010:06
2Livingston11002:03
3Stenhousemuir11002:03
4Forfar Athletic20020:60
5Brechin20020:80
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1East Fife21013:14
2St Johnstone11002:03
3Linlithgow Rose21011:23
4Inverness11001:12
5Morton20020:30
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ayr22004:26
2Falkirk21015:13
3Edinburgh City21012:53
4Stranraer10012:30
5Alloa10010:20
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Raith21013:14
2Peterhead21013:23
3Hamilton11001:03
4Kilmarnock11000:02
5Elgin City20022:60
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams