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Raith vs Peterhead

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Easton D.
Assist: Robertson J.
46'
Sub
Stevenson L. In: Rowe J.
Out: Stevenson L.
60'
Sub
Lyall A. In: Turner K.
Out: Lyall A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Raith
15%
Draws
31%
Peterhead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Raith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Raith have won more games recently than Peterhead.
  • Model gives Raith a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Raith have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Raith, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Raith here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Raith Clean Sheet 68%
Peterhead Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raith Peterhead
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 League Cup
Raith vs Peterhead
1:0
Jul 13, 2022 League Cup
Raith vs Peterhead
6:0
Mar 14, 2020 League One
Peterhead vs Raith
0:0
Jan 4, 2020 League One
Raith vs Peterhead
2:1
Nov 23, 2019 Scottish Cup
Raith vs Peterhead
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Raith Compare

Top Goalscorer Easton D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Peterhead Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raith 95 / 100
Peterhead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raith Peterhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raith Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peterhead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Raith scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Raith has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Raith VS Peterhead
1.57 Goals Scored 1.5
0.43 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Raith

(Home)
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0
Arbroath
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2
Raith
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0
Raith
22 Aug
Raith
2 : 0
Ayr
08 Aug
Queen's Park
1 : 2
Raith
Page 1 of 6

Peterhead

(Away)
12 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1
Peterhead
08 Sept
Peterhead
2 : 1
Clachnacuddin
05 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 3
Montrose
29 Aug
Alloa
1 : 1
Peterhead
25 Aug
Peterhead
2 : 1
Dundee FC B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Queen's Park 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 4:8 5
4 Queen of the South 4 1 0 3 6:8 4
5 Brora Rangers 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dundee Utd 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
2 Montrose 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 Arbroath 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Stirling 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Spartans 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Mirren 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Dunfermline 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 East Kilbride 4 2 0 2 13:10 6
4 Dumbarton 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
5 Cove Rangers 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 4 4 0 0 11:3 11
2 Dundee FC 4 3 0 1 14:3 10
3 Clyde 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Airdrieonians 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Annan 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 4 4 0 0 6:3 10
2 Partick 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Livingston 4 2 0 2 11:1 8
4 Forfar Athletic 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Brechin 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 4 4 0 0 5:1 11
2 East Fife 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 St Johnstone 4 2 0 2 6:2 7
4 Linlithgow Rose 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Morton 4 0 0 4 0:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ayr 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 Falkirk 4 2 0 2 9:2 7
3 Edinburgh City 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Alloa 4 2 0 2 4:9 4
5 Stranraer 4 0 0 4 4:10 1
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilmarnock 4 3 0 1 2:0 9
2 Hamilton 4 3 0 1 7:2 8
3 Raith 4 2 0 2 5:2 8
4 Peterhead 4 2 0 2 3:3 5
5 Elgin City 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams