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Rakhine United vs Ispe

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Win Khaing Ye
(Penalty)
67' Event
Zin Min T.
79' Event
Zay Ya Kyaw

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Rakhine United and Ispe finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ispe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Rakhine United
15%
Draws
73%
Ispe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ispe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Ispe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Rakhine United Clean Sheet 15%
Ispe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rakhine United Ispe
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.53 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 National League
Rakhine United vs Ispe
1:2
Nov 3, 2025 National League
Ispe vs Rakhine United
4:1
Jun 15, 2025 MNL League Cup
Ispe vs Rakhine United
2:2
Jan 30, 2025 National League
Rakhine United vs Ispe
0:0
Jul 13, 2024 National League
Ispe vs Rakhine United
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rakhine United Compare

Top Goalscorer Zin Min T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ispe Compare

Top Goalscorer Zay Ya Kyaw
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakhine United 31 / 100
Ispe 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rakhine United Ispe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ispe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ispe conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Rakhine United's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Ispe has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rakhine United VS Ispe
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rakhine United

(Home)
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 0
Rakhine United
06 Mar
Dagon Port
5 : 3
Rakhine United
02 Mar
Rakhine United
0 : 6
Shan United
24 Feb
Dagon
1 : 0
Rakhine United
Page 1 of 6

Ispe

(Away)
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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