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Rakhine United vs Shan United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Hirota R.
54' Event
Hein Khun Kyaw Zin
60' Event
Bakayoko M.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Rakhine United and Shan United finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shan United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Rakhine United
20%
Draws
73%
Shan United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shan United come out ahead of Rakhine United on wins alone.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Shan United taking it.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Shan United have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Rakhine United Clean Sheet 10%
Shan United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rakhine United Shan United
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 8 23
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.53 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 National League
Rakhine United vs Shan United
0:6
Sep 14, 2025 National League
Shan United vs Rakhine United
3:0
Feb 17, 2025 National League
Shan United vs Rakhine United
3:0
Aug 26, 2024 National League
Rakhine United vs Shan United
1:4
May 20, 2024 MNL League Cup
Shan United vs Rakhine United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rakhine United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Shan United Compare

Top Goalscorer Hirota R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hein Khun Kyaw Zin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.59
Avg xA / game 1.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakhine United 10 / 100
Shan United 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rakhine United Shan United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shan United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Rakhine United found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Shan United has conceded goals in 51% of their last 35 outings.

Rakhine United went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rakhine United VS Shan United
1 Goals Scored 3.13
2.57 Goals Conceded 0.63
71% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rakhine United

(Home)
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 0
Rakhine United
06 Mar
Dagon Port
5 : 3
Rakhine United
02 Mar
Rakhine United
0 : 6
Shan United
24 Feb
Dagon
1 : 0
Rakhine United
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Shan United

(Away)
14 Sept
Shan United
2 : 0
Ezra
11 Sept
Ezra
3 : 2
Shan United
05 Sept
Myawady
0 : 4
Shan United
30 Aug
Yangon Royals
2 : 2
Shan United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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