Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rakovski 2011 vs Lyubimets 2007

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2016/2017 game between Rakovski 2011 and Lyubimets 2007 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rakovski 2011.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Rakovski 2011
15%
Draws
12%
Lyubimets 2007
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rakovski 2011

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Rakovski 2011's 1.31 goals per match outpaces what Lyubimets 2007 have produced (1.13).
  • Model gives Rakovski 2011 a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Rakovski 2011 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Rakovski 2011 Clean Sheet 18%
Lyubimets 2007 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rakovski 2011 Lyubimets 2007
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2017 Third League - South-East
Rakovski 2011 vs Lyubimets 2007
3:1
Oct 15, 2016 Third League - South-East
Lyubimets 2007 vs Rakovski 2011
1:4
May 25, 2013 Vtora liga
Rakovski 2011 vs Lyubimets 2007
2:1
Nov 28, 2012 Vtora liga
Lyubimets 2007 vs Rakovski 2011
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakovski 2011 85 / 100
Lyubimets 2007 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rakovski 2011 Lyubimets 2007

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rakovski 2011 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lyubimets 2007 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Rakovski 2011 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Difficult form: Lyubimets 2007 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rakovski 2011 VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rakovski 2011

(Home)
27 May
Sozopol
4 : 1
Rakovski 2011
23 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 5
Yambol 1915
16 May
Rakovski 2011
0 : 1
Sekirovo Rakovski
13 May
OFC Haskovo
2 : 3
Rakovski 2011
09 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv II
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Lyubimets 2007

(Away)
27 May
Dimitrovgrad
3 : 0
Lyubimets 2007
20 May
Lyubimets 2007
0 : 7
Zagorets
13 May
Vereya 2
4 : 0
Lyubimets 2007
10 May
Lyubimets 2007
0 : 0
Borislav Parvomay
06 May
Maritsa Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lyubimets 2007
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorets 34 26 6 2 77:13 84
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 34 26 0 8 95:25 78
3 Karnobat 34 23 4 7 79:35 73
4 Rozova Dolina 34 20 4 10 69:38 64
5 Atletik Kuklen 34 15 8 11 58:44 53
6 Borislav Parvomay 34 14 8 12 60:48 50
7 Evrokolezh 34 14 4 16 64:65 46
8 Uragan Boyadzhik 34 13 6 15 55:66 45
9 Asenovets 34 13 5 16 50:56 44
10 Dimitrovgrad 34 12 7 15 35:39 43
11 Vereya 2 34 12 5 17 66:76 41
12 Svilengrad 1921 34 11 8 15 41:52 41
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 12 5 17 51:71 41
14 Rakovski 2011 34 11 7 16 52:81 40
15 Radnevo 34 11 6 17 39:58 39
16 Arda 34 11 6 17 49:69 39
17 Lyubimets 2007 34 9 6 19 38:79 33
18 Elhovo 34 4 3 27 27:90 15
Promotion - Vtora liga 2017/2018 (Main)