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Rakow Czestochowa vs GKS Katowice

Poland Poland

Polish Cup 2025/2026 zondacrypto Arena
Thu, Apr 9, 2026
5 - 4
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rakow Czestochowa play GKS Katowice in the Polish Cup 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rakow Czestochowa averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. GKS Katowice averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Rakow Czestochowa won 4, GKS Katowice won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 9, 2026 ended 5:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Rakow Czestochowa and 1.50 for GKS Katowice. This points to a Rakow Czestochowa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Rakow Czestochowa
15%
Draws
39%
GKS Katowice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rakow Czestochowa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Rakow Czestochowa picked up more points recently compared to GKS Katowice.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Rakow Czestochowa Clean Sheet 16%
GKS Katowice Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rakow Czestochowa GKS Katowice
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.93 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Polish Cup
Rakow Czestochowa vs GKS Katowice
5:4
Dec 7, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs GKS Katowice
1:0
Jul 19, 2025 Ekstraklasa
GKS Katowice vs Rakow Czestochowa
0:1
Feb 8, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs GKS Katowice
1:2
Aug 3, 2024 Ekstraklasa
GKS Katowice vs Rakow Czestochowa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rakow Czestochowa Compare

Top Goalscorer Brunes J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Racovitan B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

GKS Katowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Jirka E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zrelak A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakow Czestochowa 45 / 100
GKS Katowice 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rakow Czestochowa GKS Katowice

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rakow Czestochowa or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rakow Czestochowa attacking → ← attacking GKS Katowice

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rakow Czestochowa scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

GKS Katowice let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Rakow Czestochowa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

GKS Katowice lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 51
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63