Sport Picks
Rakow Czestochowa vs Jagiellonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Ekstraklasa Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow, Częstochowa 
Match Events
23'
23'
Emreli M.
31'
31'
Imaz J.
(Penalty)
37'
37'
Prelec N.
AI Match Summary
Jagiellonia in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jagiellonia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rakow Czestochowa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Jagiellonia have won more games recently than Rakow Czestochowa.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Rakow Czestochowa taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Rakow Czestochowa Clean Sheet 10%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rakow Czestochowa | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Jagiellonia
2:5
May 13, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Jagiellonia
0:2
Nov 2, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Rakow Czestochowa
1:2
May 10, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Jagiellonia
1:2
Nov 10, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Rakow Czestochowa
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rakow Czestochowa Compare
Top Goalscorer Emreli M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jendryka J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Jagiellonia Compare
Top Goalscorer Prelec N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sow O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rakow Czestochowa 34 / 100
Jagiellonia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rakow Czestochowa Jagiellonia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Rakow Czestochowa scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Jagiellonia let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Difficult form: Jagiellonia registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rakow Czestochowa VS Jagiellonia
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Rakow Czestochowa
(Home) 09 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
1 : 4 GKS Katowice
02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1 Polonia Bytom
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3 Zaglebie
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1 Motor Lublin
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
1 : 4 GKS Katowice
02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1 Polonia Bytom
15 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3 Zaglebie
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1 Motor Lublin
03 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
1 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
Page 1 of 3
Jagiellonia
(Away) 10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Gornik Zabrze
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0 Suduva
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Legia
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1 Jagiellonia
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1 Jagiellonia
11 Sept
Wisla
2 : 0 Jagiellonia
03 Sept
Lech Poznan
2 : 1 Jagiellonia
30 Aug
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 5 Jagiellonia
27 Aug
Iberia 1999
1 : 2 Jagiellonia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Legia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 7 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Zaglebie | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 13 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 14 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | 6 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
