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Rakow Czestochowa vs Puszcza

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rakow Czestochowa play Puszcza in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rakow Czestochowa averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Puszcza averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Rakow Czestochowa won 2, Puszcza won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Rakow Czestochowa and 1.00 for Puszcza. This points to a Rakow Czestochowa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Rakow Czestochowa
34%
Draws
31%
Puszcza
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Rakow Czestochowa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Rakow Czestochowa picked up more points recently compared to Puszcza.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Rakow Czestochowa Clean Sheet 23%
Puszcza Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rakow Czestochowa Puszcza
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.89 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Rakow Czestochowa vs Puszcza
2:0
Apr 7, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Puszcza vs Rakow Czestochowa
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Puszcza
2:0
Jul 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Rakow Czestochowa vs Puszcza
1:1
Mar 9, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Puszcza vs Rakow Czestochowa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rakow Czestochowa Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaby-Fadiga L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Puszcza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakow Czestochowa 36 / 100
Puszcza 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rakow Czestochowa Puszcza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rakow Czestochowa or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rakow Czestochowa attacking → ← attacking Puszcza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rakow Czestochowa scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Puszcza let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Rakow Czestochowa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Puszcza lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 43
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50