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Rakvere vs Tartu JK Welco

World World

Club Friendly 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Ljas J.
45'
76' Event
Ots R.

AI Match Summary

Rakvere in this Club Friendly 2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rakvere.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Rakvere
22%
Draws
60%
Tartu JK Welco
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tartu JK Welco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tartu JK Welco lately — more wins on the board than Rakvere.
  • Win probability leans Tartu JK Welco's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Rakvere Clean Sheet 10%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rakvere Tartu JK Welco
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 17
Draws 2 7
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 0 3.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2019 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Rakvere
4:0
Aug 8, 2019 Esiliiga
Rakvere vs Tartu JK Welco
1:1
Jun 13, 2019 Esiliiga
Rakvere vs Tartu JK Welco
3:1
May 4, 2019 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Rakvere
1:1
Jan 27, 2019 Club Friendly
Rakvere vs Tartu JK Welco
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rakvere Compare

Top Goalscorer Ljas J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ots R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Tartu JK Welco Compare

Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakvere 18 / 100
Tartu JK Welco 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rakvere Tartu JK Welco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tartu JK Welco conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Rakvere scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Rakvere stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tartu JK Welco
0 Goals Scored 3.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%