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Rancho Santana vs Sport Sebaco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Herrera W.
85'
Kirklan F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera game between Rancho Santana and Sport Sebaco finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Sebaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Rancho Santana
30%
Draws
12%
Sport Sebaco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rancho Santana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sport Sebaco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rancho Santana a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sport Sebaco here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Rancho Santana Clean Sheet 17%
Sport Sebaco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rancho Santana Sport Sebaco
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Sport Sebaco
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Sport Sebaco
0:3
Feb 12, 2026 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Rancho Santana
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Rancho Santana
2:0
Aug 17, 2025 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Sport Sebaco
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rancho Santana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sport Sebaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrera W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rancho Santana 84 / 100
Sport Sebaco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rancho Santana Sport Sebaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rancho Santana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rancho Santana's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sport Sebaco conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Rancho Santana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rancho Santana VS Sport Sebaco
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rancho Santana

(Home)
03 Oct
Rancho Santana
1 : 6
Managua FC
06 Sept
Rancho Santana
1 : 1
Esteli
02 Sept
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
30 Aug
Matagalpa
0 : 1
Rancho Santana
23 Aug
Rancho Santana
1 : 2
San Marcos
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Sport Sebaco

(Away)
10 Sept
Sport Sebaco
0 : 1
Diriangen
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
02 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
30 Aug
Sport Sebaco
0 : 5
Esteli
22 Aug
Managua FC
6 : 1
Sport Sebaco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 10 8 2 0 33:10 26
2 Diriangen 10 8 2 0 22:7 26
3 UNAN-Managua 10 6 2 2 12:7 20
4 Esteli 10 5 3 2 17:7 18
5 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
6 San Marcos 10 3 1 6 9:16 10
7 Matagalpa 9 3 0 6 4:16 9
8 Walter Ferreti 10 2 2 6 14:18 8
9 Jalapa 10 1 2 7 6:16 5
10 Rancho Santana 10 1 2 7 8:20 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)