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Rangers vs Celtic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Nygren B.
23' Event
Neil D.
Assist: Kelsy K.
27'
Donovan C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Rangers
15%
Draws
35%
Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Rangers haven't matched Celtic's recent run of results.
  • Rangers are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Celtic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Celtic, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Rangers Clean Sheet 20%
Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rangers Celtic
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 16 18
Draws 4 3
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.04 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Rangers
0:1
Sep 13, 2026 League Cup
Rangers vs Celtic
3:0
May 10, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Rangers
3:1
Mar 8, 2026 Scottish Cup
Rangers vs Celtic
0:1
Mar 1, 2026 Premiership
Rangers vs Celtic
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Neil D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kelsy K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Celtic Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rangers 58 / 100
Celtic 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rangers Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rangers's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Rangers has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Celtic conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Rangers VS Celtic
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rangers

(Home)
24 Oct
Rangers
4 : 0
St Johnstone
17 Oct
Dundee FC
2 : 2
Rangers
10 Oct
Rangers
3 : 1
Kilmarnock
20 Sept
Celtic
0 : 1
Rangers
13 Sept
Rangers
3 : 0
Celtic
Page 1 of 6

Celtic

(Away)
25 Oct
Hibernian
1 : 2
Celtic
22 Oct
Celtic
1 : 2
Celta Vigo
18 Oct
Celtic
7 : 1
Hearts
15 Oct
Benfica
4 : 1
Celtic
11 Oct
Motherwell
0 : 2
Celtic
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Stenhousemuir 1
Motherwell 0
Hearts 6
Inverness 2
Dunfermline 1
Ross County 2
Hibernian 1
Partick 0
Rangers 5
St. Mirren 1
Dundee Utd 0
Celtic 4
Kilmarnock 3
Ayr 2
Aberdeen 3
Dundee FC 0
Quarter-finals
Stenhousemuir 0
Hearts 3
Ross County 0
Hibernian 3
Rangers 3
Celtic 0
Kilmarnock 1
Aberdeen 2
Semi-finals
Hearts -
Hibernian -
Rangers -
Aberdeen -
Final
TBD -
TBD -