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Ranong vs Chainat Hornbill - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2022/2023
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Match Events

22' Event
Phupha J.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 2022/2023 game between Ranong and Chainat Hornbill finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ranong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Ranong
20%
Draws
70%
Chainat Hornbill
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chainat Hornbill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chainat Hornbill come out ahead of Ranong on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chainat Hornbill a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Ranong Clean Sheet 22%
Chainat Hornbill Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ranong Chainat Hornbill
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 5 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 0.8 1.51
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2023 Thai League 2
Ranong vs Chainat Hornbill
1:0
Nov 5, 2022 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Ranong
1:1
Feb 27, 2022 Thai League 2
Ranong vs Chainat Hornbill
0:1
Oct 17, 2021 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Ranong
3:1
Mar 17, 2021 Thai League 2
Ranong vs Chainat Hornbill
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ranong Compare

Top Goalscorer Phupha J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Chainat Hornbill Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ranong 16 / 100
Chainat Hornbill 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ranong Chainat Hornbill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chainat Hornbill Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chainat Hornbill conceded in 85% of 39 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Ranong scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Ranong remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chainat Hornbill
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ranong

(Home)
30 Apr
Chiangmai FC
3 : 2
Ranong
22 Apr
Ranong
0 : 5
Uthai Thani
08 Apr
Samut Prakan City
2 : 0
Ranong
02 Apr
Ranong
2 : 2
Krabi
29 Mar
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 0
Ranong
Page 1 of 6

Chainat Hornbill

(Away)
19 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2
Chainat Hornbill
16 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
0 : 0
Pattaya United
13 Sept
Muang Loei Utd
3 : 0
Chainat Hornbill
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1
Phrae United
29 Aug
Uthai Thani
3 : 1
Chainat Hornbill
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nakhon Pathom 34 16 12 6 32:20 60
2 Trat FC 34 17 9 8 55:34 60
3 Uthai Thani 34 16 11 7 70:36 59
4 Customs Utd 34 17 7 10 45:31 58
5 Chiangmai United 34 15 9 10 36:32 54
6 Suphanburi FC 34 16 4 14 36:35 52
7 Rayong FC 34 14 10 10 41:30 52
8 Nakhon Si United 34 14 9 11 48:42 51
9 Phrae United 34 13 12 9 50:43 51
10 Ayutthaya United 34 15 6 13 50:43 51
11 Chiangmai FC 34 13 7 14 49:41 46
12 Krabi 34 10 12 12 46:46 42
13 Chainat Hornbill 34 11 8 15 44:48 41
14 Samut Prakan City 34 8 13 13 32:42 37
15 Kasetsart 34 8 13 13 35:42 37
16 Raj Pracha 34 9 10 15 29:41 37
17 Ranong 34 6 9 19 28:64 27
18 Udon Thani 34 6 3 25 31:87 21
Promotion - Thai League 1 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)