Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Allianz Stadion, Vienna
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Heil J.
7' Event
Demir Y.
(Penalty)
10' Event
Beganovic B.
Assist: Seidl S.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga game between Rapid Vienna and Sturm Graz finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rapid Vienna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Rapid Vienna
15%
Draws
31%
Sturm Graz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rapid Vienna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Rapid Vienna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Rapid Vienna are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Rapid Vienna Clean Sheet 16%
Sturm Graz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rapid Vienna Sturm Graz
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 19 16
Draws 6 10
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2.33 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Bundesliga
Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz
3:1
May 17, 2026 Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna
2:0
Apr 5, 2026 Bundesliga
Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz
0:2
Nov 2, 2025 Bundesliga
Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rapid Vienna Compare

Top Goalscorer Tilio M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dahl P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sturm Graz Compare

Top Goalscorer Beganovic B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rapid Vienna 66 / 100
Sturm Graz 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rapid Vienna Sturm Graz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rapid Vienna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rapid Vienna scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Sturm Graz has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Rapid Vienna remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rapid Vienna VS Sturm Graz
3 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rapid Vienna

(Home)
18 Sept
Rapid Vienna
3 : 0
Tirol
12 Sept
Wolfsberger AC
0 : 3
Rapid Vienna
05 Sept
A. Klagenfurt
2 : 5
Rapid Vienna
02 Sept
Salzburg
5 : 1
Rapid Vienna
30 Aug
Rapid Vienna
3 : 1
Sturm Graz
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Sturm Graz

(Away)
20 Sept
Salzburg
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
16 Sept
Sturm Graz
0 : 0
Rennes
13 Sept
Sturm Graz
2 : 1
LASK Linz
05 Sept
ASK Voitsberg
1 : 4
Sturm Graz
30 Aug
Rapid Vienna
3 : 1
Sturm Graz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Vienna 7 6 0 1 21:7 18
2 Salzburg 7 5 2 0 18:4 17
3 LASK Linz 7 5 1 1 19:7 16
4 Sturm Graz 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
5 Ried 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
6 Hartberg 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
7 Tirol 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
8 A. Lustenau 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
9 Grazer AK 7 2 2 3 6:16 8
10 Austria Vienna 7 2 1 4 7:13 7
11 Wolfsberger AC 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
12 Altach 7 1 0 6 5:12 3
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation Group)