Sport Picks
Raplamaa vs Eston Villa II Prediction & H2H Stats
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2020/2021 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Estonian Cup 2020/2021. Eston Villa II go into this one as the clear favorite. Eston Villa II have shipped 4.8 goals a game lately, while Raplamaa have conceded 3.74 and scored 0.87. Past meetings favor Raplamaa slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 29, 2020, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 2.31, favoring Eston Villa II. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eston Villa II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Raplamaa have won more games recently than Eston Villa II.
- Eston Villa II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Raplamaa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Raplamaa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Raplamaa Clean Sheet 10%
Eston Villa II Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Raplamaa | Eston Villa II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 5 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 28 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.74 | 4.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 29, 2020 Estonian Cup
Raplamaa vs Eston Villa II
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Raplamaa 10 / 100
Eston Villa II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Raplamaa Eston Villa II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Eston Villa II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Eston Villa II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Raplamaa's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Eston Villa II let in goals in 50% of their last 4 matches.
Scoring Trends
Raplamaa VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
3.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Raplamaa
(Home) 23 Jul
Nomme Utd
12 : 0 Raplamaa
18 Jun
Raplamaa
1 : 5 Saku Sporting
12 Jun
Legion
3 : 1 Raplamaa
29 Jul
Raplamaa
1 : 5 Laanemaa Haapsalu
13 Nov
Raplamaa
0 : 3 Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 7
18 Jun
Raplamaa
1 : 5 Saku Sporting
29 Jul
Raplamaa
1 : 5 Laanemaa Haapsalu
13 Nov
Raplamaa
0 : 3 Tartu JK Welco
29 Oct
Raplamaa
0 : 5 Laanemaa Haapsalu
16 Oct
Raplamaa
2 : 3 Tammeka Tartu II
Page 1 of 4
Eston Villa II
(Away) 10 Jul
Eston Villa II
: FC Ararat
29 Jul
Raplamaa
3 : 0 Eston Villa II
22 Oct
Narva
21 : 0 Eston Villa II
09 Oct
Eston Villa II
3 : 0 Otepaa
01 Aug
Loo JK
0 : 1 Eston Villa II
29 Jul
Raplamaa
3 : 0 Eston Villa II
22 Oct
Narva
21 : 0 Eston Villa II
01 Aug
Loo JK
0 : 1 Eston Villa II
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora U19 -
FCI Tallinn 5
Helios 1
Kuressaare 18
Anija 0
Pohja-Sakala 5
Aksi Wolves 1
TBD -
Lelle -
Parnu -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora -
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Teleios 1
TBD -
Soccernet -
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Lootos Polva -
Viimsi Lovid -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Zenit Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
Helm -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Vastseliina Tannem -
TBD -
Narva 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 0
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
Parnu Sadam 8
Puhkus Mehhikos 1
Tallinna Wolves -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond IV 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 2
Raplamaa 3
Eston Villa II 0
TBD -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
Jogeva -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Imavere Forss -
TBD -
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
TransferWise -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev 6
Nomme Utd 3
Kalju -
TBD -
TBD -
Rummu Dunamo -
Kohvile 9
JK 32. keskkool 0
TBD -
Tallinn Piraaja -
Maksatransport -
TBD -
Legion 9
HF Beer 0
Saku Sporting 6
Kadakas 0
TBD -
Rakvere -
Paide Linnameeskond 24
Eyjafjallajokull 0
TBD -
Tulevik U21 -
Tallinna Pocarr 3
Igiliikur 0
TBD -
ReUnited -
Olympic Tallinn 1
JK Poseidon 2
TBD -
Kose -
Tulevik -
TBD -
TBD -
Maardu Aliens -
Legion II -
TBD -
FC Tallinn 2
Elva 1
Vandra Vaprus -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 10
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Levadia 6
Kohtla-Nomme 0
JK Retro -
TBD -
Loo JK 9
Metsis 1
Eston Villa 2
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 0
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 -
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Jogeva Wolves 2
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Viimsi JK 4
Kristiine 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 9
FC Sssolutions 0
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Keila JK -
1/32-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2
Flora U19 1
FCI Tallinn 2
Kuressaare 3
Pohja-Sakala 6
Lelle 1
Parnu 1
Flora 4
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Soccernet 1
Rumori Calcio II 3
FC Lootos Polva 0
Viimsi Lovid 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
Zenit Tallinn 0
Tammeka Tartu 13
Helm 2
Tallinna Kalev U21 1
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Narva 5
Rumori Calcio 2
Parnu Sadam 3
Tallinna Wolves 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Raplamaa 13
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Jogeva 1
FC Hell Hunt 2
Imavere Forss 5
Valga Warrior 1
TransferWise 0
Tallinna Kalev 11
Kalju 8
Rummu Dunamo 0
Kohvile 1
Tallinn Piraaja 3
Maksatransport 0
Legion 6
Saku Sporting 3
Rakvere 2
Paide Linnameeskond 9
Tulevik U21 0
Tallinna Pocarr 1
ReUnited 0
JK Poseidon 0
Kose 2
Tulevik -
Maardu Aliens -
Legion II 0
FC Tallinn 4
Vandra Vaprus 5
Flora Tallinn U21 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Levadia 2
JK Retro 5
Loo JK 0
Eston Villa 6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 0
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Jarva-Jaani 0
Viimsi JK 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Hiiumaa 3
Keila JK 4
1/16-finals
Tartu JK Welco 1
Kuressaare 6
Pohja-Sakala 0
Flora 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 2
Rumori Calcio II 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Helm 1
Narva 2
Parnu Sadam -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve -
Raplamaa 1
FC Hell Hunt 2
Imavere Forss 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Kalju 4
Tallinn Piraaja 0
Legion 11
Saku Sporting 0
Paide Linnameeskond 13
Tallinna Pocarr 0
Kose 0
Tulevik 8
FC Tallinn 2
Vandra Vaprus 0
Levadia 5
JK Retro 0
Eston Villa 2
Pohja-Tallinna 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Keila JK 3
1/8-finals
Kuressaare 0
Flora 4
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
Tammeka Tartu 15
Narva 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
FC Hell Hunt 0
Tallinna Kalev 4
Kalju 3
Legion 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Tulevik 3
FC Tallinn 0
Levadia 3
Eston Villa 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Quarter-finals
Flora 2
Tammeka Tartu 1
Narva 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Kalju 1
Tulevik 2
Levadia 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Semi-finals
Flora 2
Narva 1
Tulevik 0
Levadia 2
Final
Flora 0
Levadia 1
