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Rapperswil-Jona vs Aarau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Grünfeld, Rapperswil-Jona
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rapperswil-Jona host Aarau in the Challenge League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Aarau have shipped 1.68 goals a game lately, while Rapperswil-Jona have conceded 1.89 and scored 1.89. Head-to-head, Rapperswil-Jona have won 0 to Aarau's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Aarau. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Rapperswil-Jona
15%
Draws
26%
Aarau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rapperswil-Jona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Rapperswil-Jona at 1.89 per game, Aarau at 1.79.
  • Win probability leans Rapperswil-Jona's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aarau have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Rapperswil-Jona Clean Sheet 20%
Aarau Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rapperswil-Jona Aarau
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.89 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Challenge League
Aarau vs Rapperswil-Jona
3:2
Apr 4, 2026 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Aarau
4:5
Feb 27, 2026 Challenge League
Aarau vs Rapperswil-Jona
5:3
Nov 1, 2025 Challenge League
Aarau vs Rapperswil-Jona
2:1
Aug 29, 2025 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Aarau
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rapperswil-Jona 36 / 100
Aarau 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rapperswil-Jona Aarau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rapperswil-Jona scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Aarau let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Rapperswil-Jona has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rapperswil-Jona VS Aarau
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rapperswil-Jona

(Home)
23 Oct
Wil
2 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
16 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 2
St. Gallen
09 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3
Lausanne Ouchy
18 Sept
Xamax
0 : 3
Rapperswil-Jona
11 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 0
Yverdon
Page 1 of 6

Aarau

(Away)
24 Oct
Aarau
1 : 2
Etoile-Carouge
18 Oct
Aarau
2 : 0
Zurich
09 Oct
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 1
Aarau
02 Oct
Aarau
1 : 2
Young Boys
24 Sept
Grasshoppers
4 : 1
Aarau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 11 7 4 0 20:3 25
2 Yverdon 11 6 4 1 21:11 22
3 Winterthur 11 6 3 2 23:11 21
4 Xamax 11 5 1 5 15:17 16
5 Kriens 11 4 3 4 19:17 15
6 Aarau 11 3 3 5 16:20 12
7 Etoile-Carouge 11 3 3 5 10:15 12
8 Rapperswil-Jona 11 3 2 6 17:21 11
9 Wil 11 2 5 4 18:24 11
10 Stade Nyonnais 11 1 2 8 8:28 5
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)