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Rapperswil-Jona vs St. Gallen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup Grünfeld, Rapperswil-Jona
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Rapperswil-Jona have averaged 1.93 scored and 1.9 conceded recently, against St. Gallen's 1.97 scored and 1.8 conceded. Past meetings favor St. Gallen slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 3, 2025, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Rapperswil-Jona. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rapperswil-Jona
20%
Draws
40%
St. Gallen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • St. Gallen have won more games recently than Rapperswil-Jona.
  • Model gives Rapperswil-Jona a 40% chance of winning this.
  • St. Gallen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor St. Gallen, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and St. Gallen have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Rapperswil-Jona Clean Sheet 20%
St. Gallen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rapperswil-Jona St. Gallen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2025 Swiss Cup
Rapperswil-Jona vs St. Gallen
1:2
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Rapperswil-Jona vs St. Gallen
3:1
Jun 26, 2021 Club Friendly
St. Gallen vs Rapperswil-Jona
5:0
Jul 6, 2011 Club Friendly
St. Gallen vs Rapperswil-Jona
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rapperswil-Jona 67 / 100
St. Gallen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rapperswil-Jona St. Gallen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rapperswil-Jona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rapperswil-Jona scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: St. Gallen conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Rapperswil-Jona stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rapperswil-Jona VS St. Gallen
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rapperswil-Jona

(Home)
09 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3
Lausanne Ouchy
18 Sept
Xamax
0 : 3
Rapperswil-Jona
11 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 0
Yverdon
04 Sept
Aarau
3 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
01 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
1 : 1
Kriens
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St. Gallen

(Away)
03 Oct
Bruhl SG
3 : 3
St. Gallen
20 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
St. Gallen
16 Sept
Lugano
4 : 1
St. Gallen
12 Sept
St. Gallen
0 : 3
Sion
06 Sept
Servette
0 : 2
St. Gallen
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Aesch 1
Langenthal 5
Meyrin 0
Xamax 1
FC Interlaken 1
Bulle 4
Rebstein 2
Wil 6
Koniz 3
Munsingen 1
Wiesendangen 0
Bruhl SG 6
CS Italien 1
Lausanne Ouchy 8
Collex-Bossy 0
Etoile-Carouge 2
Kaufdorf 0
Old Boys 5
Terre Sainte 0
Yverdon 5
Amical Saint-Prex 1
Stade Nyonnais 3
Courtetelle 1
Basel 6
Rotkreuz 4
Bellinzona 1
Bavois 0
Servette 7
Rorschach 2
Schaffhausen 4
FC Saxon-Sports 0
Thun 6
Biel 3
Aarau 4
Tuggen 1
Zurich 2
Young Fellows Juventus 1
Rapperswil-Jona 6
Thalwil 0
St. Gallen 3
Zurich City SC 1
Winterthur 3
Buochs 0
Luzern 3
Mutschellen 3
FC Winkeln SG 4
Kosova Neuchatel 0
Lausanne 6
Courrendlin-Courroux 0
Grenchen 1
Regensdorf 0
Grasshoppers 5
Pully 2
Genolier-Begnins 0
Vedeggio 1
Lugano 10
Taverne 2
Brunnen 1
Liestal 0
Young Boys 4
Cham 2
Kriens 0
Kerzers 1
Sion 6
1/16-finals
Langenthal -
Xamax -
Bulle -
Wil -
Koniz -
Bruhl SG -
Lausanne Ouchy -
Etoile-Carouge -
Old Boys -
Yverdon -
Stade Nyonnais -
Basel -
Rotkreuz -
Servette -
Schaffhausen -
Thun -
Aarau -
Zurich -
Rapperswil-Jona -
St. Gallen -
Winterthur -
Luzern -
FC Winkeln SG -
Lausanne -
Grenchen -
Grasshoppers -
Pully -
Lugano -
Taverne -
Young Boys -
Cham -
Sion -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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