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Rapperswil-Jona vs Wil

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Grünfeld, Rapperswil-Jona
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Match Events

10' Event
Dabanli B.
Assist: Emini L.
36'
Breedijk L.
46'
Sub
Diet Y. B. In: Saho U.
Out: Diet Y. B.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Rapperswil-Jona and Wil finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rapperswil-Jona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Rapperswil-Jona
39%
Draws
31%
Wil
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Wil haven't matched Rapperswil-Jona's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Rapperswil-Jona Clean Sheet 68%
Wil Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rapperswil-Jona Wil
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 2 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Wil
4:5
Apr 11, 2026 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Wil
2:0
Feb 13, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Rapperswil-Jona
0:2
Nov 7, 2025 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Wil
1:2
Aug 26, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Rapperswil-Jona
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rapperswil-Jona Compare

Top Goalscorer Dabanli B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Wil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rapperswil-Jona 41 / 100
Wil 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rapperswil-Jona Wil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Rapperswil-Jona scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Rapperswil-Jona remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Wil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rapperswil-Jona VS Wil
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rapperswil-Jona

(Home)
24 Jul
Rapperswil-Jona
4 : 5
Wil
17 Jul
Rapperswil-Jona
3 : 1
Cham
04 Jul
Lugano
1 : 1
Rapperswil-Jona
26 Jun
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3
Basel
24 Jun
Freienbach
1 : 3
Rapperswil-Jona
Page 1 of 6

Wil

(Away)
24 Jul
Rapperswil-Jona
4 : 5
Wil
18 Jul
Wil
3 : 2
Bruhl SG
10 Jul
Wil
0 : 2
Luzern
04 Jul
Wil
3 : 2
Grasshoppers
26 Jun
A. Lustenau
2 : 0
Wil
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vaduz36256575:4181
2Aarau36255677:4780
3Yverdon36207975:4867
4Lausanne Ouchy361481459:5150
5Xamax361471555:5649
6Rapperswil-Jona361422052:6244
7Etoile-Carouge3610101646:5440
8Wil3610101639:5540
9Stade Nyonnais365131833:6028
10Bellinzona36582340:7723
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Promotion League (Main)