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Rapperswil-Jona vs Winterthur

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Grünfeld, Rapperswil-Jona
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Morgado B.
22'
Cueni S.
45' Event
Kehrer E.
Assist: Marchesano A.

AI Match Summary

Winterthur in this Challenge League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Winterthur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Rapperswil-Jona
30%
Draws
43%
Winterthur
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Winterthur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Rapperswil-Jona have won more games recently than Winterthur.
  • Win probability leans Winterthur's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Winterthur here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Rapperswil-Jona Clean Sheet 20%
Winterthur Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rapperswil-Jona Winterthur
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 3 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 2.06 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Winterthur
0:2
Jun 28, 2024 Club Friendly
Winterthur vs Rapperswil-Jona
3:2
Jan 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Winterthur vs Rapperswil-Jona
4:0
Jan 17, 2023 Club Friendly
Rapperswil-Jona vs Winterthur
0:2
May 23, 2019 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Winterthur
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rapperswil-Jona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Winterthur Compare

Top Goalscorer Kehrer E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rapperswil-Jona 20 / 100
Winterthur 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rapperswil-Jona Winterthur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Winterthur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rapperswil-Jona found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Winterthur conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Rapperswil-Jona remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rapperswil-Jona VS Winterthur
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rapperswil-Jona

(Home)
18 Sept
Xamax
0 : 3
Rapperswil-Jona
11 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 0
Yverdon
04 Sept
Aarau
3 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
01 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
1 : 1
Kriens
28 Aug
Etoile-Carouge
2 : 1
Rapperswil-Jona
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Winterthur

(Away)
18 Sept
Winterthur
2 : 1
Aarau
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1
Winterthur
04 Sept
Winterthur
4 : 0
Xamax
01 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 2
Winterthur
28 Aug
Winterthur
1 : 1
Lausanne Ouchy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 9 6 3 0 17:3 21
2 Winterthur 9 5 3 1 19:8 18
3 Yverdon 9 4 4 1 14:9 16
4 Kriens 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
5 Aarau 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
6 Xamax 9 4 0 5 12:17 12
7 Rapperswil-Jona 9 3 1 5 15:16 10
8 Etoile-Carouge 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
9 Wil 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
10 Stade Nyonnais 9 0 2 7 6:23 2
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)