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Rapperswil-Jona W vs Thun W Prediction & H2H Stats

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women 2025/2026 Grünfeld, Rapperswil-Jona
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Ueltschi R.
Penalty Missed
32' Event
Colpi L.
47' Event
Saric T.

AI Match Summary

The Super League Women 2025/2026 game between Rapperswil-Jona W and Thun W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rapperswil-Jona W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Rapperswil-Jona W
15%
Draws
59%
Thun W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thun W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thun W come out ahead of Rapperswil-Jona W on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Thun W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Rapperswil-Jona W Clean Sheet 20%
Thun W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rapperswil-Jona W Thun W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 11 6
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.19 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.16 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Super League Women
Thun W vs Rapperswil-Jona W
2:2
Nov 1, 2025 Super League Women
Rapperswil-Jona W vs Thun W
3:1
May 10, 2025 Super League Women
Rapperswil-Jona W vs Thun W
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 Super League Women
Thun W vs Rapperswil-Jona W
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Super League Women
Thun W vs Rapperswil-Jona W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rapperswil-Jona W Compare

Top Goalscorer Saric T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torradeflot Q.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Thun W Compare

Top Goalscorer Colpi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rapperswil-Jona W 24 / 100
Thun W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rapperswil-Jona W Thun W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thun W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thun W has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Rapperswil-Jona W's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Rapperswil-Jona W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rapperswil-Jona W VS Thun W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.43
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 71%
63% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Rapperswil-Jona W

(Home)
03 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona W
5 : 2
Aarau W
19 Sept
Basel W
2 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona W
12 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona W
1 : 2
Servette W
09 Sept
Luzern W
2 : 0
Rapperswil-Jona W
05 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona W
2 : 4
Zurich W
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Thun W

(Away)
30 May
Sion W
1 : 6
Thun W
23 May
Thun W
1 : 4
Luzern W
17 May
Yverdon W
0 : 2
Thun W
09 May
Thun W
4 : 1
Sion W
02 May
Luzern W
1 : 0
Thun W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Servette W 18 15 2 1 42:5 47
2 Young Boys W 18 11 3 4 32:13 36
3 Basel W 18 10 5 3 23:13 35
4 Grasshopper W 18 10 3 5 33:22 33
5 Zurich W 18 8 5 5 33:20 29
6 St. Gallen W 18 7 5 6 25:28 26
7 Rapperswil-Jona W 18 3 7 8 19:30 16
8 Aarau W 18 2 5 11 11:28 11
9 Luzern W 18 2 4 12 21:50 10
10 Thun W 18 1 3 14 17:47 6
Promotion - Super League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Super League Women 2025/2026 (Relegation)