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Rasisalai United vs Port MTI FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai FA Cup
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Thai FA Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Rasisalai United have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Port MTI FC's 2.2 scored and 1.17 conceded. Past meetings favor Port MTI FC slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.69, favoring Port MTI FC. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Rasisalai United
15%
Draws
73%
Port MTI FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Port MTI FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Port MTI FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Port MTI FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Port MTI FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Rasisalai United Clean Sheet 13%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rasisalai United Port MTI FC
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 19
Draws 9 4
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.57 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Thai League 1
Rasisalai United vs Port MTI FC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rasisalai United 31 / 100
Port MTI FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rasisalai United Port MTI FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Port MTI FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rasisalai United scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Port MTI FC let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Port MTI FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rasisalai United VS Port MTI FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rasisalai United

(Home)
17 Oct
Sukhothai
5 : 1
Rasisalai United
10 Oct
Uthai Thani
4 : 2
Rasisalai United
19 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2
Rasisalai United
05 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 2
Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 6

Port MTI FC

(Away)
18 Oct
Bangkok Utd
0 : 2
Port MTI FC
14 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
5 : 1
Port MTI FC
11 Oct
Port MTI FC
3 : 2
Pattani
08 Oct
Port MTI FC
1 : 3
Persib Bandung
20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1
Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Romklao United -
Sukhothai -
Dome -
Sisaket United -
Nakhon Phanom United -
Marines FC -
Phetchabun -
Banbueng -
See Khwae City -
Udon Banjan United -
Udon United -
Lopburi City -
Buriram United F.C. -
DPU Thayang FC -
Thap Luang United -
Rayong FC -
Huasamrong -
Mahasarakham -
Yala -
Samut Sakhon City -
Ayutthaya United -
Muang Thong Utd -
Chumphon United -
Songkhla -
Rasisalai United -
Port MTI FC -
Kasetsart -
Chanthaburi -
Phetchaburi -
Lopburi FC -
Surindra FC -
Phichit United -
Suphanburi FC -
Lamphun Warrior -
Burapha United -
Chiangrai Utd -
Old Blood -
Bangkok Utd -
Police Tero -
Surin City -
Uthai Thani -
Nakhon Pathom -
Bangkapi -
PTS -
Khonkaen United -
Pathum United -
Phitsanulok -
Royal Thai Fleet FC -
Pattaya United -
Narathiwat FC -
Muangnont -
Samui United -
Kasem Bundit -
Customs Utd -
Prachuap -
Nonthaburi United -
Bangkok FC -
Nong Bua Pitchaya -
Chonburi -
Pattaya City -
Warin Chamrap -
Karin United -
Ratchaburi -
Pattani -
1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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