Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ratchaburi vs Buriram United F.C.

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Dragon Solar Park
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Bissoli
Assist: Zulj R.
21' Event
Gleyson
41'
Sub
Gleyson In: Rakotoharimalala N.
Out: Gleyson

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Ratchaburi
28%
Draws
22%
Buriram United F.C.
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ratchaburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Buriram United F.C. have won more games recently than Ratchaburi.
  • Model gives Ratchaburi a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ratchaburi Clean Sheet 18%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ratchaburi Buriram United F.C.
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 16 24
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.43 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.43 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Buriram United F.C.
2:2
Nov 30, 2025 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Ratchaburi
2:0
Apr 19, 2025 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Buriram United F.C.
3:2
Dec 8, 2024 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Ratchaburi
6:0
Apr 20, 2024 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Buriram United F.C.
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ratchaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Gleyson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Curran J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.22

Buriram United F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Bissoli
1 Goals
Assists Leader Weerawatnodom N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ratchaburi 49 / 100
Buriram United F.C. 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ratchaburi Buriram United F.C.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Ratchaburi found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Ratchaburi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Buriram United F.C. let in goals in 53% of their last 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ratchaburi VS Buriram United F.C.
2.43 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423