Sport Picks
Rathfriland Rangers vs Coagh Utd
Northern Ireland
Irish League Cup 2024/2025 
Match Events
10'
10'
Dallas A.
45'
45'
Holloway M.
51'
51'
Rooney E.
AI Match Summary
Rathfriland Rangers in this Irish League Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coagh Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Coagh Utd lately — more wins on the board than Rathfriland Rangers.
- Win probability leans Rathfriland Rangers's way, sitting at 36%.
- Coagh Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Rathfriland Rangers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Rathfriland Rangers Clean Sheet 11%
Coagh Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rathfriland Rangers | Coagh Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 18 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.32 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.23 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 13, 2024 Irish League Cup
Rathfriland Rangers vs Coagh Utd
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rathfriland Rangers Compare
Top Goalscorer Holloway M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rooney E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11
Coagh Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Dallas A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 0.99
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rathfriland Rangers 35 / 100
Coagh Utd 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rathfriland Rangers Coagh Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Coagh Utd conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.
Rathfriland Rangers's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Coagh Utd's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Rathfriland Rangers VS Coagh Utd
2.13 Goals Scored 1.33
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.33
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Rathfriland Rangers
(Home) 25 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2 Warrenpoint
19 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 0 Queens University
12 Sept
Ards
1 : 0 Rathfriland Rangers
05 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2 Institute
28 Aug
Glenavon
3 : 1 Rathfriland Rangers
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2 Warrenpoint
19 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 0 Queens University
05 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2 Institute
15 Aug
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 2 Newry City
08 Aug
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 3 Loughgall
Page 1 of 3
Coagh Utd
(Away) 07 Oct
Cliftonville
4 : 1 Coagh Utd
12 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 2 Coagh Utd
13 Aug
Rathfriland Rangers
2 : 1 Coagh Utd
27 Jul
Coagh Utd
1 : 1 Ballymena
03 Oct
Portadown
4 : 1 Coagh Utd
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Cliftonville
4 : 1 Coagh Utd
12 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 2 Coagh Utd
13 Aug
Rathfriland Rangers
2 : 1 Coagh Utd
03 Oct
Portadown
4 : 1 Coagh Utd
19 Aug
Banbridge
0 : 1 Coagh Utd
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Moyola 3
Oxford Sunnyside 1
TBD -
Annagh -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Tobermore 3
Queens University 4
Ballymacash 3
Banbridge 0
TBD -
Institute -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Warrenpoint 2
Lisburn Distillery 0
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Coagh Utd 1
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Glentoran -
TBD -
Dergview 2
Knockbreda 1
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
1/16-finals
Moyola 2
Annagh 4
Carrick Rangers 0
Queens University 1
Ballymacash 0
Institute 1
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 2
Loughgall 2
Armagh 3
Newington FC 2
Glenavon 3
Bangor FC 4
Warrenpoint 0
Limavady 0
Cliftonville 2
Rathfriland Rangers 3
Ballymena 4
Portadown 0
Ards 1
Dundela 0
Linfield 3
Glentoran 2
Dergview 0
Ballyclare 2
Crusaders 3
Ballinamallard 0
Coleraine 4
Dungannon 5
Portstewart 0
Dollingstown 5
Newry City 1
1/8-finals
Annagh 2
Queens University 0
Institute 0
Larne 2
Armagh 1
Glenavon 0
Bangor FC 0
Cliftonville 1
Ballymena 1
Ards 0
Linfield 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 2
Coleraine 1
Dungannon 3
Dollingstown 1
Quarter-finals
Annagh 0
Larne 5
Armagh 0
Cliftonville 3
Ballymena 0
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 4
Dungannon 2
Semi-finals
Larne 0
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 4
Crusaders 2
Final
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 0
