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Rathfriland Rangers vs Loughgall - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Loughgall in this NIFL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Loughgall.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Rathfriland Rangers
15%
Draws
26%
Loughgall
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rathfriland Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Loughgall have won more games recently than Rathfriland Rangers.
  • Model gives Rathfriland Rangers a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Rathfriland Rangers Clean Sheet 16%
Loughgall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rathfriland Rangers Loughgall
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 11 12
Draws 0 8
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.68 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NIFL Championship
Rathfriland Rangers vs Loughgall
1:3
Jan 4, 2020 Irish Cup
Loughgall vs Rathfriland Rangers
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rathfriland Rangers 66 / 100
Loughgall 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rathfriland Rangers Loughgall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rathfriland Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Rathfriland Rangers's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Loughgall has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Rathfriland Rangers stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rathfriland Rangers VS Loughgall
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rathfriland Rangers

(Home)
09 Oct
Rathfriland Rangers
2 : 1
Armagh
03 Oct
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Rathfriland Rangers
25 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Warrenpoint
19 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 0
Queens University
12 Sept
Ards
1 : 0
Rathfriland Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Loughgall

(Away)
10 Oct
Loughgall
1 : 2
Moyola
03 Oct
Loughgall
2 : 1
Newry City
25 Sept
Glenavon
4 : 1
Loughgall
19 Sept
Loughgall
0 : 0
Armagh
12 Sept
Queens University
1 : 0
Loughgall
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 11 6 4 1 25:14 22
2 Glenavon 11 6 3 2 26:14 21
3 Newington FC 11 6 2 3 24:20 20
4 Queens University 11 6 1 4 20:8 19
5 Newry City 11 5 3 3 19:19 18
6 Warrenpoint 11 5 2 4 19:15 17
7 Institute 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Ballinamallard 11 5 2 4 17:16 17
9 Harland & Wolff 11 5 1 5 18:16 16
10 Ards 11 4 3 4 14:13 15
11 Moyola 11 4 2 5 12:21 14
12 Loughgall 11 3 4 4 15:21 13
13 Dundela 11 2 5 4 19:23 11
14 Strabane Athletic 11 2 3 6 10:20 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 11 3 0 8 11:23 9
16 Armagh 11 0 5 6 9:18 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)