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Rathfriland Rangers vs Moyola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rathfriland Rangers host Moyola in the NIFL Championship. Little to choose between these two on current form. Rathfriland Rangers have averaged 1.68 scored and 2.14 conceded recently, against Moyola's 1.32 scored and 2.04 conceded. Head-to-head, Rathfriland Rangers have won 1 to Moyola's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 20, 2016, ending 4:3. xG projections (1.31 - 1.38) back Rathfriland Rangers to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Rathfriland Rangers
15%
Draws
37%
Moyola
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rathfriland Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Rathfriland Rangers at 1.68 per game, Moyola at 1.32.
  • Model gives Rathfriland Rangers a 48% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Rathfriland Rangers Clean Sheet 17%
Moyola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rathfriland Rangers Moyola
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 0 2
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.68 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2016 Irish Cup
Rathfriland Rangers vs Moyola
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rathfriland Rangers 75 / 100
Moyola 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rathfriland Rangers Moyola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rathfriland Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Rathfriland Rangers's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Moyola has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Rathfriland Rangers remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rathfriland Rangers VS Moyola
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rathfriland Rangers

(Home)
09 Oct
Rathfriland Rangers
2 : 1
Armagh
03 Oct
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Rathfriland Rangers
25 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Warrenpoint
19 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 0
Queens University
12 Sept
Ards
1 : 0
Rathfriland Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Moyola

(Away)
10 Oct
Loughgall
1 : 2
Moyola
03 Oct
Moyola
0 : 3
Glenavon
26 Sept
Queens University
0 : 1
Moyola
19 Sept
Moyola
0 : 0
Ards
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2
Moyola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 11 6 4 1 25:14 22
2 Glenavon 11 6 3 2 26:14 21
3 Newington FC 11 6 2 3 24:20 20
4 Queens University 11 6 1 4 20:8 19
5 Newry City 11 5 3 3 19:19 18
6 Warrenpoint 11 5 2 4 19:15 17
7 Institute 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Ballinamallard 11 5 2 4 17:16 17
9 Harland & Wolff 11 5 1 5 18:16 16
10 Ards 11 4 3 4 14:13 15
11 Moyola 11 4 2 5 12:21 14
12 Loughgall 11 3 4 4 15:21 13
13 Dundela 11 2 5 4 19:23 11
14 Strabane Athletic 11 2 3 6 10:20 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 11 3 0 8 11:23 9
16 Armagh 11 0 5 6 9:18 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)