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Rathfriland Rangers vs Newry City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship game between Rathfriland Rangers and Newry City finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newry City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Rathfriland Rangers
20%
Draws
38%
Newry City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rathfriland Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Newry City have managed 1.48 goals a game lately — Rathfriland Rangers are scoring more at 1.68.
  • Rathfriland Rangers are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Rathfriland Rangers Clean Sheet 11%
Newry City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rathfriland Rangers Newry City
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 0 7
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.68 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NIFL Championship
Rathfriland Rangers vs Newry City
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rathfriland Rangers 35 / 100
Newry City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rathfriland Rangers Newry City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rathfriland Rangers scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Newry City conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Rathfriland Rangers stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rathfriland Rangers VS Newry City
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rathfriland Rangers

(Home)
09 Oct
Rathfriland Rangers
2 : 1
Armagh
03 Oct
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Rathfriland Rangers
25 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Warrenpoint
19 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 0
Queens University
12 Sept
Ards
1 : 0
Rathfriland Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Newry City

(Away)
09 Oct
Newry City
3 : 1
Dundela
03 Oct
Loughgall
2 : 1
Newry City
25 Sept
Newry City
3 : 2
Harland & Wolff
18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1
Annagh
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Newry City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 11 6 4 1 25:14 22
2 Glenavon 11 6 3 2 26:14 21
3 Newington FC 11 6 2 3 24:20 20
4 Queens University 11 6 1 4 20:8 19
5 Newry City 11 5 3 3 19:19 18
6 Warrenpoint 11 5 2 4 19:15 17
7 Institute 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Ballinamallard 11 5 2 4 17:16 17
9 Harland & Wolff 11 5 1 5 18:16 16
10 Ards 11 4 3 4 14:13 15
11 Moyola 11 4 2 5 12:21 14
12 Loughgall 11 3 4 4 15:21 13
13 Dundela 11 2 5 4 19:23 11
14 Strabane Athletic 11 2 3 6 10:20 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 11 3 0 8 11:23 9
16 Armagh 11 0 5 6 9:18 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)