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Ravenna vs Corticella

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Manara N.
19' Event
Di Renzo L.
55' Event
Esposito A.

AI Match Summary

Ravenna in this Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ravenna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ravenna
6%
Draws
4%
Corticella
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ravenna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ravenna have won more games recently than Corticella.
  • Ravenna are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ravenna here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Ravenna Clean Sheet 20%
Corticella Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ravenna Corticella
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 19 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Ravenna vs Corticella
5:2
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Ravenna
0:1
May 19, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Ravenna vs Corticella
2:1
Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Ravenna
0:2
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Ravenna vs Corticella
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ravenna Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Renzo L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Esposito A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Corticella Compare

Top Goalscorer Manara N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ravenna 85 / 100
Corticella 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ravenna Corticella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ravenna's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Corticella has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Ravenna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ravenna VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ravenna

(Home)
20 May
Ravenna
0 : 2
Salernitana
17 May
Salernitana
2 : 0
Ravenna
13 May
Ravenna
1 : 1
Cittadella
10 May
Cittadella
2 : 2
Ravenna
18 Apr
Ravenna
1 : 0
Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 7

Corticella

(Away)
18 May
Corticella
0 : 2
Sammaurese
11 May
Corticella
4 : 1
Sasso Marconi
27 Apr
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Corticella
17 Apr
Corticella
0 : 3
Prato
13 Apr
Tuttocuoio
1 : 1
Corticella
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Forli FC34273475:2484
2Ravenna34235665:2774
3Lentigione341811548:2765
4Tau34189754:2763
5Pistoiese34187945:2361
6Imolese341411952:4453
7Cittadella Vis Modena341381348:4047
8Piacenza3410121238:4042
9Prato341191434:3842
10Tuttocuoio3410121232:4342
11SCD Progresso3410111324:3241
12San Marino Calcio341081638:5138
13Sasso Marconi349101539:5137
14Corticella341061837:6536
15Sammaurese347101727:3731
16Fiorenzuola34752221:4626
17Zenith Prato341081636:5123
18United Riccione34572222:6922
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Out)