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Ravenna vs Corticella Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Manara N.
19' Event
Di Renzo L.
55' Event
Esposito A.

AI Match Summary

Ravenna in this Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ravenna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Ravenna
20%
Draws
19%
Corticella
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ravenna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Ravenna have won more games recently than Corticella.
  • Ravenna are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ravenna here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Ravenna Clean Sheet 20%
Corticella Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ravenna Corticella
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.41 1
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Ravenna vs Corticella
5:2
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Ravenna
0:1
May 19, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Ravenna vs Corticella
2:1
Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Ravenna
0:2
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Ravenna vs Corticella
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ravenna Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Renzo L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Esposito A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Corticella Compare

Top Goalscorer Manara N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ravenna 85 / 100
Corticella 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ravenna Corticella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ravenna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corticella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ravenna remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Ravenna found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Ravenna VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ravenna

(Home)
27 Sept
Ravenna
2 : 0
Gubbio
20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2
Ravenna
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0
Perugia
06 Sept
Pescara
0 : 0
Ravenna
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Corticella

(Away)
18 May
Corticella
0 : 2
Sammaurese
11 May
Corticella
4 : 1
Sasso Marconi
27 Apr
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Corticella
17 Apr
Corticella
0 : 3
Prato
13 Apr
Tuttocuoio
1 : 1
Corticella
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forli FC 34 27 3 4 75:24 84
2 Ravenna 34 23 5 6 65:27 74
3 Lentigione 34 18 11 5 48:27 65
4 Tau 34 18 9 7 54:27 63
5 Pistoiese 34 18 7 9 45:23 61
6 Imolese 34 14 11 9 52:44 53
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 13 8 13 48:40 47
8 Piacenza 34 10 12 12 38:40 42
9 Prato 34 11 9 14 34:38 42
10 Tuttocuoio 34 10 12 12 32:43 42
11 SCD Progresso 34 10 11 13 24:32 41
12 San Marino Calcio 34 10 8 16 38:51 38
13 Sasso Marconi 34 9 10 15 39:51 37
14 Corticella 34 10 6 18 37:65 36
15 Sammaurese 34 7 10 17 27:37 31
16 Fiorenzuola 34 7 5 22 21:46 26
17 Zenith Prato 34 10 8 16 36:51 23
18 United Riccione 34 5 7 22 22:69 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Out)