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Ravenna vs Vis Pesaro

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Bruno Benelli, Ravenna
Our Tip

Match Events

50'
Giovannini R.
61'
Sub
Mariani E. In: Di Paola M.
Out: Mariani E.
69'
Sub
Okaka S. In: Motti M.
Out: Okaka S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Ravenna and Vis Pesaro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ravenna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ravenna
35%
Draws
32%
Vis Pesaro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ravenna come out ahead of Vis Pesaro on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ravenna a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ravenna Clean Sheet 68%
Vis Pesaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ravenna Vis Pesaro
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Ravenna vs Vis Pesaro
1:0
Dec 15, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Ravenna
1:0
Feb 3, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Ravenna
0:0
Oct 8, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Ravenna vs Vis Pesaro
2:1
Jan 26, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Ravenna
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ravenna Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Marco T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Vis Pesaro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ravenna 86 / 100
Vis Pesaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ravenna Vis Pesaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ravenna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ravenna scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Vis Pesaro has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Vis Pesaro has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ravenna VS Vis Pesaro
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ravenna

(Home)
09 Aug
Benevento
5 : 3
Ravenna
20 May
Ravenna
0 : 2
Salernitana
17 May
Salernitana
2 : 0
Ravenna
13 May
Ravenna
1 : 1
Cittadella
10 May
Cittadella
2 : 2
Ravenna
Page 1 of 6

Vis Pesaro

(Away)
08 Aug
Modena
0 : 0
Vis Pesaro
05 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0
Vis Pesaro
31 Jul
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2
Benevento
23 Jul
Venezia
8 : 0
Vis Pesaro
03 May
Juventus U23
2 : 2
Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)