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Ravenna vs Zenith Prato

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Nistri G.
41' Event
Falteri M.
53' Event
Di Renzo L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 game between Ravenna and Zenith Prato finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ravenna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Ravenna
35%
Draws
21%
Zenith Prato
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ravenna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ravenna come out ahead of Zenith Prato on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ravenna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ravenna Clean Sheet 20%
Zenith Prato Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ravenna Zenith Prato
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Ravenna vs Zenith Prato
3:2
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Zenith Prato vs Ravenna
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ravenna Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Renzo L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Guida M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Zenith Prato Compare

Top Goalscorer Nistri G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Falteri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ravenna 85 / 100
Zenith Prato 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ravenna Zenith Prato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ravenna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ravenna scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Ravenna has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Zenith Prato conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ravenna VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ravenna

(Home)
27 Sept
Ravenna
2 : 0
Gubbio
20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2
Ravenna
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0
Perugia
06 Sept
Pescara
0 : 0
Ravenna
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Zenith Prato

(Away)
11 May
Zenith Prato
2 : 2
Piacenza
27 Apr
Imolese
5 : 1
Zenith Prato
17 Apr
Zenith Prato
1 : 1
Sasso Marconi
12 Apr
Pistoiese
0 : 1
Zenith Prato
06 Apr
Zenith Prato
0 : 0
Prato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forli FC 34 27 3 4 75:24 84
2 Ravenna 34 23 5 6 65:27 74
3 Lentigione 34 18 11 5 48:27 65
4 Tau 34 18 9 7 54:27 63
5 Pistoiese 34 18 7 9 45:23 61
6 Imolese 34 14 11 9 52:44 53
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 13 8 13 48:40 47
8 Piacenza 34 10 12 12 38:40 42
9 Prato 34 11 9 14 34:38 42
10 Tuttocuoio 34 10 12 12 32:43 42
11 SCD Progresso 34 10 11 13 24:32 41
12 San Marino Calcio 34 10 8 16 38:51 38
13 Sasso Marconi 34 9 10 15 39:51 37
14 Corticella 34 10 6 18 37:65 36
15 Sammaurese 34 7 10 17 27:37 31
16 Fiorenzuola 34 7 5 22 21:46 26
17 Zenith Prato 34 10 8 16 36:51 23
18 United Riccione 34 5 7 22 22:69 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Out)