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Rayo Cantabria vs Lealtad

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Ramos Alvarez R.
85'
Jimenez G.

AI Match Summary

Rayo Cantabria in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayo Cantabria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Rayo Cantabria
15%
Draws
26%
Lealtad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rayo Cantabria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Rayo Cantabria have won more games recently than Lealtad.
  • Model gives Rayo Cantabria a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Rayo Cantabria Clean Sheet 68%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Cantabria Lealtad
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 10 3
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 2.03 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Rayo Cantabria vs Lealtad
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Lealtad vs Rayo Cantabria
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Cantabria Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos Alvarez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Lealtad Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Cantabria 59 / 100
Lealtad 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Cantabria Lealtad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rayo Cantabria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rayo Cantabria scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Lealtad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Rayo Cantabria remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Lealtad registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Cantabria VS Lealtad
2.25 Goals Scored 0.71
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.14
100% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Cantabria

(Home)
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2
Amorebieta
13 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
06 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 1
Sestao
29 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
2 : 1
Eibar B
27 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Rayo Cantabria
Page 1 of 6

Lealtad

(Away)
20 Sept
Gijon B
1 : 0
Lealtad
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2
Praviano
06 Sept
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Lealtad
07 Aug
Llanera
1 : 0
Lealtad
03 May
Salamanca CF UDS
2 : 1
Lealtad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)