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Rayo Cantabria vs Lealtad

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Ramos Alvarez R.
85'
Jimenez G.

AI Match Summary

Rayo Cantabria in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayo Cantabria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Rayo Cantabria
11%
Draws
9%
Lealtad
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Rayo Cantabria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Rayo Cantabria have won more games recently than Lealtad.
  • Model gives Rayo Cantabria a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Rayo Cantabria Clean Sheet 68%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Cantabria Lealtad
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 12 5
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 2.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Rayo Cantabria vs Lealtad
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Lealtad vs Rayo Cantabria
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Cantabria Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos Alvarez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Lealtad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Cantabria 86 / 100
Lealtad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Cantabria Lealtad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rayo Cantabria scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Lealtad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Rayo Cantabria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Lealtad registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Cantabria VS Lealtad
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Cantabria

(Home)
03 May
Sarriana
3 : 4
Rayo Cantabria
26 Apr
Rayo Cantabria
4 : 1
Real Avila
19 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
12 Apr
Rayo Cantabria
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
05 Apr
Salamanca CF UDS
1 : 2
Rayo Cantabria
Page 1 of 6

Lealtad

(Away)
03 May
Salamanca CF UDS
2 : 1
Lealtad
26 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 2
Coruxo FC
19 Apr
UD Ourense
3 : 1
Lealtad
12 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 3
Valladolid Promesas
04 Apr
Atletico Astorga
3 : 4
Lealtad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)