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Rayo Cantabria vs Sestao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Bengoetxea A.
25' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Rayo Cantabria and Sestao finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Rayo Cantabria
15%
Draws
78%
Sestao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sestao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rayo Cantabria come out ahead of Sestao on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sestao a 78% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Rayo Cantabria Clean Sheet 15%
Sestao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Cantabria Sestao
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.11 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.71 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Rayo Cantabria vs Sestao
0:1
Aug 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Rayo Cantabria vs Sestao
1:1
Aug 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Rayo Cantabria vs Sestao
1:1
Mar 27, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs Rayo Cantabria
0:0
Nov 6, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Rayo Cantabria vs Sestao
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Cantabria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sestao Compare

Top Goalscorer Bengoetxea A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Cantabria 10 / 100
Sestao 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Cantabria Sestao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sestao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayo Cantabria scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Sestao let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Rayo Cantabria went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Cantabria VS Sestao
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Cantabria

(Home)
03 Oct
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 5
Eibar B
27 Sept
Llanera
2 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2
Amorebieta
13 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
06 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 1
Sestao
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Sestao

(Away)
04 Oct
Gernika Club
1 : 2
Sestao
30 Sept
Sestao
4 : 1
Terrassa
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
20 Sept
Compostela
2 : 0
Sestao
16 Sept
Comillas CF
1 : 2
Sestao
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