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Rayo Ibense vs Patacona Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Roz A.
68' Event
Montalt Ruiz H.

AI Match Summary

Patacona in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patacona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Rayo Ibense
30%
Draws
47%
Patacona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Patacona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Rayo Ibense have won more games recently than Patacona.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Rayo Ibense taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Rayo Ibense Clean Sheet 18%
Patacona Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Ibense Patacona
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 3
Draws 5 12
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.6 1
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Rayo Ibense vs Patacona
0:2
Dec 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Patacona vs Rayo Ibense
2:2
Mar 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Patacona vs Rayo Ibense
0:1
Oct 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Rayo Ibense vs Patacona
0:1
Apr 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Rayo Ibense vs Patacona
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Ibense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Patacona Compare

Top Goalscorer Roz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Montalt Ruiz H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Ibense 41 / 100
Patacona 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Ibense Patacona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Patacona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Patacona lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Rayo Ibense scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Ibense VS Patacona
0 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Ibense

(Home)
01 Aug
Rayo Ibense
0 : 2
Alcoyano
08 May
Rayo Ibense
0 : 0
Levante B
04 May
Benidorm
1 : 0
Rayo Ibense
27 Apr
Rayo Ibense
0 : 1
Roda
17 Apr
Villarreal C
2 : 0
Rayo Ibense
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Patacona

(Away)
11 May
Patacona
0 : 2
Roda
04 May
Villarreal C
1 : 1
Patacona
26 Apr
Patacona
0 : 2
Atzeneta
17 Apr
Espanol de San Vicente
3 : 2
Patacona
13 Apr
Patacona
0 : 0
Castellonense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 34 18 4 12 76:58 58
2 Roda 34 15 12 7 52:32 57
3 La Nucia 34 15 11 8 46:24 56
4 Castellonense 34 15 11 8 38:30 56
5 Utiel 34 14 12 8 38:31 54
6 Villarreal C 34 12 14 8 55:37 50
7 Atzeneta 34 14 8 12 36:34 50
8 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 37:36 49
9 Soneja 34 11 14 9 36:34 47
10 Atletico Saguntino 34 10 16 8 41:36 46
11 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
12 Levante B 34 13 5 16 34:39 44
13 Espanol de San Vicente 34 12 7 15 36:46 43
14 Crevillente 34 10 11 13 34:44 41
15 Torrellano 34 8 15 11 35:39 39
16 Benidorm 34 9 11 14 36:51 38
17 Patacona 34 5 12 17 35:59 27
18 Rayo Ibense 34 6 5 23 23:57 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 (Play Offs)