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Rayo Ibense vs Roda

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Garcia C.

AI Match Summary

Roda in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Roda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Rayo Ibense
20%
Draws
70%
Roda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Roda lately — more wins on the board than Rayo Ibense.
  • Model gives Roda a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Rayo Ibense Clean Sheet 15%
Roda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Ibense Roda
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.6 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Rayo Ibense vs Roda
0:1
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Roda vs Rayo Ibense
2:0
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Roda vs Rayo Ibense
0:1
Jan 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Rayo Ibense vs Roda
2:0
Apr 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Rayo Ibense vs Roda
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Ibense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Roda Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Ibense 27 / 100
Roda 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Ibense Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roda has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Rayo Ibense scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Rayo Ibense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Ibense VS Roda
0 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Ibense

(Home)
01 Aug
Rayo Ibense
0 : 2
Alcoyano
08 May
Rayo Ibense
0 : 0
Levante B
04 May
Benidorm
1 : 0
Rayo Ibense
27 Apr
Rayo Ibense
0 : 1
Roda
17 Apr
Villarreal C
2 : 0
Rayo Ibense
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Roda

(Away)
19 Sept
Roda
1 : 1
Crevillente
13 Sept
Villarreal C
2 : 1
Roda
06 Sept
Roda
2 : 1
Ontinyent 1931 CF
22 Aug
Roda
1 : 0
Atletico Saguntino
09 May
Crevillente
2 : 0
Roda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 34 18 4 12 76:58 58
2 Roda 34 15 12 7 52:32 57
3 La Nucia 34 15 11 8 46:24 56
4 Castellonense 34 15 11 8 38:30 56
5 Utiel 34 14 12 8 38:31 54
6 Villarreal C 34 12 14 8 55:37 50
7 Atzeneta 34 14 8 12 36:34 50
8 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 37:36 49
9 Soneja 34 11 14 9 36:34 47
10 Atletico Saguntino 34 10 16 8 41:36 46
11 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
12 Levante B 34 13 5 16 34:39 44
13 Espanol de San Vicente 34 12 7 15 36:46 43
14 Crevillente 34 10 11 13 34:44 41
15 Torrellano 34 8 15 11 35:39 39
16 Benidorm 34 9 11 14 36:51 38
17 Patacona 34 5 12 17 35:59 27
18 Rayo Ibense 34 6 5 23 23:57 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 (Play Offs)