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Rayo Majadahonda vs Conquense

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 Estadio Cerro del Espino
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Plomer D.
78' Event
Ramos I.
83'
Soto D.

AI Match Summary

Rayo Majadahonda host Conquense in the Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Rayo Majadahonda have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Conquense's 1.25 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Rayo Majadahonda slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.00) back Rayo Majadahonda to edge this. Rayo Majadahonda in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rayo Majadahonda
6%
Draws
4%
Conquense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rayo Majadahonda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rayo Majadahonda has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Conquense.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Rayo Majadahonda.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Rayo Majadahonda Clean Sheet 68%
Conquense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Majadahonda Conquense
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 18 14
Draws 9 13
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Rayo Majadahonda vs Conquense
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Conquense vs Rayo Majadahonda
0:1
Jan 12, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Conquense vs Rayo Majadahonda
2:3
Aug 31, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Rayo Majadahonda vs Conquense
2:1
Feb 28, 2004 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Conquense vs Rayo Majadahonda
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Majadahonda Compare

Top Goalscorer Plomer D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramos I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Conquense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Majadahonda 95 / 100
Conquense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Majadahonda Conquense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayo Majadahonda scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Conquense let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Rayo Majadahonda went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Conquense lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Majadahonda VS Conquense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rayo Majadahonda342010452:2370
2San Sebastian Reyes34217651:2770
3Conquense341612642:3060
4Getafe B34169955:3557
5CD Coria34169950:3857
6RSD Alcala341491142:3951
7Tenerife B341551457:5350
8Orihuela3412101245:4346
9CF Intercity3411101342:4543
10Navalcarnero3411101340:4243
11Las Palmas B341191442:4542
12Ilicitano3410111351:5641
13Real Madrid C341171642:4540
14Quintanar del Rey341161736:4339
15CF Fuenlabrada349101535:4437
16Colonia Moscardo34971837:5734
17Socuellamos347101734:5531
18Rayo Vallecano B34932230:6330