Sport Picks
Rayo Majadahonda vs RSD Alcala
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 Estadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda 
Match Events
1'
1'
Telis M.
10'
10'
Alburquerque A.
85'
85'
Martin J.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Rayo Majadahonda and RSD Alcala finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RSD Alcala.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rayo Majadahonda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rayo Majadahonda carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Rayo Majadahonda taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Rayo Majadahonda Clean Sheet 68%
RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rayo Majadahonda | RSD Alcala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 3 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Rayo Majadahonda vs RSD Alcala
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
RSD Alcala vs Rayo Majadahonda
0:2
Feb 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Majadahonda vs RSD Alcala
2:1
Sep 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs Rayo Majadahonda
1:0
Apr 20, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Majadahonda vs RSD Alcala
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rayo Majadahonda Compare
Top Goalscorer Martin J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
RSD Alcala Compare
Top Goalscorer Alburquerque A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Castejon D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rayo Majadahonda 51 / 100
RSD Alcala 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rayo Majadahonda RSD Alcala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayo Majadahonda scored in 84% of their last 32 games.
Rayo Majadahonda went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
RSD Alcala has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Rayo Majadahonda VS RSD Alcala
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rayo Majadahonda
(Home) 03 May
Rayo Majadahonda
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
26 Apr
CF Fuenlabrada
0 : 0 Rayo Majadahonda
19 Apr
Ilicitano
0 : 1 Rayo Majadahonda
12 Apr
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0 Quintanar del Rey
05 Apr
Navalcarnero
2 : 3 Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 7
03 May
Rayo Majadahonda
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
12 Apr
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0 Quintanar del Rey
29 Mar
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 2 RSD Alcala
14 Mar
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 1 Socuellamos
01 Mar
Rayo Majadahonda
0 : 1 Getafe B
Page 1 of 4
RSD Alcala
(Away) 03 May
RSD Alcala
1 : 2 CD Coria
26 Apr
Quintanar del Rey
0 : 0 RSD Alcala
19 Apr
RSD Alcala
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
12 Apr
CF Fuenlabrada
0 : 2 RSD Alcala
05 Apr
RSD Alcala
2 : 1 Las Palmas B
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Quintanar del Rey
0 : 0 RSD Alcala
12 Apr
CF Fuenlabrada
0 : 2 RSD Alcala
29 Mar
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 2 RSD Alcala
15 Mar
Tenerife B
3 : 0 RSD Alcala
22 Feb
Real Madrid C
2 : 2 RSD Alcala
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Majadahonda | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 52:23 | 70 |
| 2 | San Sebastian Reyes | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 51:27 | 70 |
| 3 | Conquense | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 42:30 | 60 |
| 4 | Getafe B | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:35 | 57 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 50:38 | 57 |
| 6 | RSD Alcala | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 42:39 | 51 |
| 7 | Tenerife B | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 57:53 | 50 |
| 8 | Orihuela | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45:43 | 46 |
| 9 | CF Intercity | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42:45 | 43 |
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:42 | 43 |
| 11 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:45 | 42 |
| 12 | Ilicitano | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 51:56 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Madrid C | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:45 | 40 |
| 14 | Quintanar del Rey | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 36:43 | 39 |
| 15 | CF Fuenlabrada | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Colonia Moscardo | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:57 | 34 |
| 17 | Socuellamos | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 34:55 | 31 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano B | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 30:63 | 30 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
