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Rayo OKC vs Minnesota United Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

NASL 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Menjivar R. In: Boateng D.
Out: Menjivar R.
57'
Sub
Blake J. In: Ibson
Out: Blake J.
57'
Sub
Banks J. In: Speas B.
Out: Banks J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NASL 2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Rayo OKC
15%
Draws
0%
Minnesota United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rayo OKC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Rayo OKC have won more games recently than Minnesota United.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Rayo OKC taking it.
  • Regular NASL 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Rayo OKC Clean Sheet 68%
Minnesota United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo OKC Minnesota United
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.48
Goals Conceded 1 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2016 NASL
Minnesota United vs Rayo OKC
1:0
Jul 31, 2016 NASL
Rayo OKC vs Minnesota United
2:2
Jun 5, 2016 NASL
Rayo OKC vs Minnesota United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo OKC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandoval D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Danso F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Minnesota United Compare

Top Goalscorer Davis J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramirez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo OKC 95 / 100
Minnesota United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo OKC Minnesota United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rayo OKC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayo OKC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Minnesota United conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Minnesota United registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Minnesota United
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo OKC

(Home)
05 Nov
New York Cosmos
2 : 1
Rayo OKC
30 Oct
Rayo OKC
2 : 1
Indy Eleven
22 Oct
Fort Lauderdale Strikers
0 : 2
Rayo OKC
16 Oct
Rayo OKC
3 : 1
Ottawa Fury
12 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 1
Rayo OKC
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Minnesota United

(Away)
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1
Minnesota United
20 Sept
Minnesota United
2 : 3
Los Angeles Galaxy
13 Sept
St. Louis City
4 : 2
Minnesota United
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2
FC Dallas
06 Sept
Portland Timbers
5 : 4
Minnesota United
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