Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rayo Vallecano B vs Galapagar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ferreres F.
59' Event
Revuelto V.
89'
de las Sias M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Rayo Vallecano B and Galapagar finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Galapagar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Rayo Vallecano B
30%
Draws
62%
Galapagar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Galapagar come out ahead of Rayo Vallecano B on wins alone.
  • Model gives Galapagar a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rayo Vallecano B Clean Sheet 10%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Vallecano B Galapagar
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 5 11
Draws 3 10
Losses 23 10
Goals Scored 0.81 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Galapagar
1:2
May 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Galapagar
0:0
May 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Rayo Vallecano B
1:3
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Rayo Vallecano B
2:3
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Galapagar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Vallecano B Compare

Top Goalscorer Revuelto V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Galapagar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreres F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Vallecano B 10 / 100
Galapagar 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Vallecano B Galapagar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galapagar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Galapagar conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Rayo Vallecano B scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Rayo Vallecano B remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Vallecano B VS Galapagar
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Vallecano B

(Home)
04 Oct
RC Alcobendas
4 : 2
Rayo Vallecano B
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2
Galapagar
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 3
Cala Pozuelo
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
Page 1 of 7

Galapagar

(Away)
04 Oct
Galapagar
1 : 3
Cala Pozuelo
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2
Galapagar
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
CD Las Rozas
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colonia Moscardo 5 3 2 0 14:5 11
2 Trival Valderas 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
3 CD Mostoles 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
4 CD Las Rozas 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
5 Cala Pozuelo 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
6 RC Alcobendas 5 2 2 1 11:9 8
7 Galapagar 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 CF Fuenlabrada 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Leganes B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
10 AD Torrejon 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
11 Union Adarve 5 1 3 1 6:8 6
12 Pozuelo de Alarcon 5 1 3 1 7:10 6
13 CP Parla Escuela 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
14 Mexico 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Real Aranjuez 5 1 1 3 9:13 4
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
17 Siello 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
18 Rayo Vallecano B 5 0 1 4 6:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)