Sport Picks
Rayo Vallecano vs Ath Bilbao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
LaLiga Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid 
AI Match Summary
Rayo Vallecano host Ath Bilbao in the LaLiga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Rayo Vallecano at 1.4 goals for, 1.4 against; Ath Bilbao at 1.63 for, 1.3 against. Past meetings favor Ath Bilbao slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.88, favoring Ath Bilbao. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ath Bilbao haven't matched Rayo Vallecano's recent run of results.
- Ath Bilbao are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Ath Bilbao have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Ath Bilbao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayo Vallecano found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Ath Bilbao let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Rayo Vallecano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Rayo Vallecano
(Home)Ath Bilbao
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 6 | Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Dep. A Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 8 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | 8 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 20 | Malaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | 3 |
