Sport Picks
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
LaLiga Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid 
AI Match Summary
Rayo Vallecano host Celta Vigo in the LaLiga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Rayo Vallecano at 1.43 goals for, 1.43 against; Celta Vigo at 1.37 for, 1.33 against. Head-to-head, Rayo Vallecano have won 2 to Celta Vigo's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.19, favoring Rayo Vallecano. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Celta Vigo haven't matched Rayo Vallecano's recent run of results.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Rayo Vallecano taking it.
- Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Celta Vigo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayo Vallecano scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
Celta Vigo let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Rayo Vallecano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Rayo Vallecano
(Home)Celta Vigo
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39:9 | 27 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23:9 | 21 |
| 4 | Betis | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:14 | 19 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:17 | 16 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | 14 |
| 7 | Alaves | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 9 | Dep. A Coruna | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:12 | 11 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:18 | 11 |
| 11 | Levante | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Villarreal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 15 | Getafe | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:11 | 9 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 17 | Racing Santander | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:25 | 8 |
| 18 | Elche | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:17 | 7 |
| 19 | Valencia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6:18 | 4 |
