Sport Picks
Rayo Vallecano vs Strasbourg
Europe
Conference League 2025/2026 Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid 
Match Events
11'
11'
El Mourabet S.
38'
38'
Ciss P.
45'
45'
Emegha E.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Rayo Vallecano advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Strasbourg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Rayo Vallecano carry the better recent record into this one.
- Rayo Vallecano are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Rayo Vallecano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Rayo Vallecano, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 18%
Strasbourg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 7, 2026 Conference League
Strasbourg vs Rayo Vallecano
0:1
Apr 30, 2026 Conference League
Rayo Vallecano vs Strasbourg
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rayo Vallecano Compare
Top Goalscorer Alemao
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Strasbourg Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rayo Vallecano 76 / 100
Strasbourg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rayo Vallecano Strasbourg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rayo Vallecano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayo Vallecano's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Strasbourg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
Difficult form: Strasbourg registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Rayo Vallecano VS Strasbourg
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Rayo Vallecano
(Home) 20 Aug
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 Alaves
15 Aug
Sevilla
2 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
08 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano
01 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 3 Rayo Vallecano
26 Jul
Feyenoord
2 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
Page 1 of 6
20 Aug
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 Alaves
17 May
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 0 Villarreal
11 May
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 Girona
30 Apr
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 0 Strasbourg
26 Apr
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 3 Real Sociedad
Page 1 of 3
Strasbourg
(Away) 29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1 Lens
21 Aug
Marseille
4 : 0 Strasbourg
16 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Strasbourg
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Marseille
4 : 0 Strasbourg
16 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Strasbourg
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
01 Aug
Brighton
4 : 3 Strasbourg
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
KuPS 0
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar -
TBD -
Noah 1
AZ Alkmaar 4
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
Zrinjski 1
Crystal Palace 3
AEK Larnaca -
TBD -
Jagiellonia 4
Fiorentina 5
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
Shkendija Tetovo 0
Samsunspor 5
Rayo Vallecano -
TBD -
Drita 4
Celje 6
AEK -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc 3
Lausanne 2
Mainz -
TBD -
Omonia 1
Rijeka 4
Strasbourg -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar 4
AZ Alkmaar 6
Sparta Prague 1
Crystal Palace 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Fiorentina 4
Rakow Czestochowa 2
Samsunspor 2
Rayo Vallecano 3
Celje 2
AEK 4
Sigma Olomouc 0
Mainz 2
Rijeka 2
Strasbourg 3
Quarter-finals
Shakhtar 5
AZ Alkmaar 2
Crystal Palace 4
Fiorentina 2
Rayo Vallecano 4
AEK 3
Mainz 2
Strasbourg 4
Semi-finals
Shakhtar 2
Crystal Palace 5
Rayo Vallecano 2
Strasbourg 0
Final
Crystal Palace 1
Rayo Vallecano 0
