Sport Picks
Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal
Spain
LaLiga 2025/2026 Campo de Futbol de Vallecas 
AI Match Summary
Rayo Vallecano play Villarreal in the LaLiga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rayo Vallecano averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Villarreal averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 1, Villarreal won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Rayo Vallecano and 1.69 for Villarreal. This points to a Villarreal double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Rayo Vallecano picked up more points recently compared to Villarreal.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.69 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rayo Vallecano Compare
Villarreal Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayo Vallecano scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Villarreal let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Rayo Vallecano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Villarreal lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.
Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.
Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 72 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 69 |
| 5 | Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | 46 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | 29 |