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Rayo Zuliano vs Monagas

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2025 Estadio José Encarnación Romero
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rayo Zuliano play Monagas in the Liga FUTVE 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rayo Zuliano averaged 0.84 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Monagas averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. In past meetings, Rayo Zuliano won 1, Monagas won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Rayo Zuliano and 1.19 for Monagas. This points to a Rayo Zuliano double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Rayo Zuliano
15%
Draws
40%
Monagas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rayo Zuliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Rayo Zuliano picked up more points recently compared to Monagas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Rayo Zuliano Clean Sheet 20%
Monagas Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Zuliano Monagas
Matches Played 25 25
Wins 7 5
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.84 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Rayo Zuliano
3:0
Sep 20, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Rayo Zuliano vs Monagas
3:1
Apr 10, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Rayo Zuliano
3:2
Sep 4, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Rayo Zuliano vs Monagas
1:2
Mar 17, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Rayo Zuliano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Zuliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ochoa J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Monagas Compare

Top Goalscorer Farias E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Zuliano 45 / 100
Monagas 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Zuliano Monagas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rayo Zuliano or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rayo Zuliano attacking → ← attacking Monagas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayo Zuliano scored in 44% of their last 25 games.

Monagas let in goals in 84% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Rayo Zuliano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Monagas lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 19
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Deportivo La Guaira13101229:831
2Dep. Tachira1383223:1227
3Carabobo1374214:825
4Monagas1364319:1522
5Caracas1363417:1721
6Zamora1361611:1519
7Academia Puerto Cabello1346312:1018
8Metropolitanos1352621:1917
9Universidad Central1352619:1817
10Estudiantes Merida1351711:1616
11Rayo Zuliano1341810:1913
12Academia Anzoategui1332810:1811
13Yaracuyanos1331911:2110
14Portuguesa1331910:217