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Rayong FC vs Customs Utd Prediction & H2H Stats

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Matsunaga T.
59' Event
Aung Lwin Moe
66' Event
Ito R.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 2023/2024 game between Rayong FC and Customs Utd finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Rayong FC
20%
Draws
22%
Customs Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rayong FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Rayong FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Rayong FC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Rayong FC Clean Sheet 68%
Customs Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayong FC Customs Utd
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.65 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Thai League 2
Rayong FC vs Customs Utd
2:2
Oct 21, 2023 Thai League 2
Customs Utd vs Rayong FC
1:6
Mar 15, 2023 Thai League 2
Rayong FC vs Customs Utd
2:1
Nov 5, 2022 Thai League 2
Customs Utd vs Rayong FC
1:0
Apr 17, 2022 Thai League 2
Rayong FC vs Customs Utd
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayong FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Aung Lwin Moe
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ito R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Customs Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Matsunaga T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adel W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayong FC 77 / 100
Customs Utd 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayong FC Customs Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rayong FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayong FC's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Customs Utd let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Rayong FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rayong FC VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayong FC

(Home)
20 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Ratchaburi
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3
Rayong FC
05 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 0
Prachuap
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
03 May
Ratchaburi
6 : 1
Rayong FC
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Customs Utd

(Away)
28 Dec
Customs Utd
2 : 3
Sukhothai
21 Dec
Customs Utd
1 : 5
Buriram United F.C.
29 Oct
Customs Utd
3 : 0
Nonthaburi United
27 Apr
Chiangmai United
2 : 0
Customs Utd
19 Apr
Suphanburi FC
1 : 0
Customs Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 34 21 10 3 64:27 73
2 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 22 6 6 80:39 72
3 Rayong FC 34 16 12 6 62:34 60
4 Chiangmai FC 34 17 8 9 55:34 59
5 Nakhon Si United 34 16 11 7 60:40 59
6 Ayutthaya United 34 16 9 9 52:36 57
7 Pattaya United 34 15 10 9 45:36 55
8 Lampang F.C. 34 15 9 10 50:41 54
9 Chiangmai United 34 12 13 9 52:41 49
10 Suphanburi FC 34 12 7 15 36:41 43
11 Phrae United 34 11 7 16 37:53 40
12 Chanthaburi 34 9 13 12 44:44 40
13 Kanchanaburi 34 10 8 16 43:52 38
14 Chainat Hornbill 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
15 Samut Prakan City 34 8 11 15 39:57 35
16 Kasetsart 34 6 4 24 31:84 22
17 Customs Utd 34 4 9 21 26:63 21
18 Krabi 34 3 11 20 23:63 20
Promotion - Thai League 1 2024/2025 (Main)
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