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Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Rayong Provincial Stadium, Rayong
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Navanich T.
35' Event
Willen Mota
Assist: Yodsangwal A.
36'
Sub
Navanich T. In: Noiwilai N.
Out: Navanich T.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Rayong FC and Lamphun Warrior finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Rayong FC
17%
Draws
70%
Lamphun Warrior
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Lamphun Warrior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rayong FC come out ahead of Lamphun Warrior on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lamphun Warrior's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Rayong FC Clean Sheet 16%
Lamphun Warrior Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayong FC Lamphun Warrior
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 16
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Rayong FC
2:2
Feb 17, 2025 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior
2:3
Sep 29, 2024 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Rayong FC
4:1
Apr 2, 2022 Thai League 2
Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayong FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lamphun Warrior Compare

Top Goalscorer Willen Mota
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayong FC 15 / 100
Lamphun Warrior 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayong FC Lamphun Warrior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayong FC scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Lamphun Warrior has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Rayong FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rayong FC VS Lamphun Warrior
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayong FC

(Home)
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
03 May
Ratchaburi
6 : 1
Rayong FC
29 Apr
Rayong FC
3 : 0
Buriram United F.C.
26 Apr
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
18 Apr
Uthai Thani
4 : 1
Rayong FC
Page 1 of 6

Lamphun Warrior

(Away)
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0
Lamphun Warrior
10 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
03 May
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0
Chiangrai Utd
26 Apr
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
11 Apr
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 2
Ratchaburi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)