Sport Picks

Thailand

Thai League 1 Rayong Provincial Stadium

Lamphun Warrior

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rayong FC play Lamphun Warrior in the Thai League 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rayong FC averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Lamphun Warrior averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, Rayong FC won 0, Lamphun Warrior won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Rayong FC and 1.44 for Lamphun Warrior. This points to a Lamphun Warrior double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Rayong FC

35%

Draws

33%

Lamphun Warrior

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lamphun Warrior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Rayong FC picked up more points recently compared to Lamphun Warrior.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Rayong FC Clean Sheet 16%

Lamphun Warrior Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rayong FC	Lamphun Warrior
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	10	8
Draws	9	14
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.5	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.57	1.32
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Thai League 1

Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Dec 6, 2025 Thai League 1

Lamphun Warrior vs Rayong FC

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Feb 17, 2025 Thai League 1

Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior

Possession: 41% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

2:3

Sep 29, 2024 Thai League 1

Lamphun Warrior vs Rayong FC

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

4:1

Apr 2, 2022 Thai League 2

Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 0 - 0

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayong FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Lamphun Warrior Compare

Top Goalscorer Willen Mota

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayong FC 32 / 100

Lamphun Warrior 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rayong FC Lamphun Warrior

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lamphun Warrior or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rayong FC attacking → ← attacking Lamphun Warrior

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayong FC scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Lamphun Warrior let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Rayong FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lamphun Warrior lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 38

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Buriram United F.C.	30	22	4	4	76:31	70
2	Port MTI FC	30	18	6	6	59:23	60
3	Ratchaburi	30	18	5	7	55:30	59
4	Pathum United	30	14	10	6	45:29	52
5	Bangkok Utd	30	13	11	6	43:32	50
6	Prachuap	30	11	12	7	39:37	45
7	Chiangrai Utd	30	9	13	8	36:37	40
8	Chonburi	30	10	9	11	38:41	39
9	Rayong FC	30	9	10	11	44:49	37
10	Ayutthaya United	30	8	8	14	34:50	32
11	Uthai Thani	30	7	10	13	39:44	31
12	Lamphun Warrior	30	4	17	9	35:47	29
13	Sukhothai	30	6	10	14	23:42	28
14	Muang Thong Utd	30	6	8	16	27:52	26
15	Nakhon Ratchasima FC	30	6	6	18	20:44	24
16	Kanchanaburi	30	4	11	15	29:54	23