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RB do Norte vs Unidos do Alvorada

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RB do Norte play Unidos do Alvorada in the Amazonense 2 2022. Unidos do Alvorada are favorites here. Recently, RB do Norte averaged 1.57 goals scored and 2.81 conceded. Unidos do Alvorada averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, RB do Norte won 0, Unidos do Alvorada won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 23, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for RB do Norte and 1.75 for Unidos do Alvorada. This points to a Unidos do Alvorada double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
RB do Norte
15%
Draws
56%
Unidos do Alvorada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Unidos do Alvorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • RB do Norte picked up more points recently compared to Unidos do Alvorada.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
RB do Norte Clean Sheet 12%
Unidos do Alvorada Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RB do Norte Unidos do Alvorada
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.81 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2025 Amazonense 2
Unidos do Alvorada vs RB do Norte
1:0
Aug 7, 2022 Amazonense 2
RB do Norte vs Unidos do Alvorada
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RB do Norte 29 / 100
Unidos do Alvorada 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RB do Norte Unidos do Alvorada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unidos do Alvorada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Unidos do Alvorada & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

RB do Norte attacking → ← attacking Unidos do Alvorada

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RB do Norte scored in 57% of their last 21 games.

Unidos do Alvorada let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

RB do Norte went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Unidos do Alvorada lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 48
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)880031:224
2Unidos do Alvorada861130:719
3Parintins851237:916
4RB do Norte840421:2712
5Manicore830520:339
6Sul America830515:299
7Atletico Amazonense821518:197
8Librade820611:386
9Taruma81168:274