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RB Leipzig U19 vs Dresden U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

DFB Youth League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The DFB Youth League game between RB Leipzig U19 and Dresden U19 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RB Leipzig U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
RB Leipzig U19
15%
Draws
36%
Dresden U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RB Leipzig U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RB Leipzig U19 come out ahead of Dresden U19 on wins alone.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • RB Leipzig U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
RB Leipzig U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Dresden U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RB Leipzig U19 Dresden U19
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 19 13
Draws 3 2
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2.86 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 DFB Youth League
Dresden U19 vs RB Leipzig U19
1:3
Aug 15, 2026 DFB Youth League
RB Leipzig U19 vs Dresden U19
4:2
Sep 28, 2024 DFB Youth League
Dresden U19 vs RB Leipzig U19
1:2
Aug 4, 2024 DFB Youth League
RB Leipzig U19 vs Dresden U19
1:1
Apr 13, 2024 Junioren Bundesliga North
RB Leipzig U19 vs Dresden U19
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RB Leipzig U19 29 / 100
Dresden U19 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RB Leipzig U19 Dresden U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RB Leipzig U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RB Leipzig U19 found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Dresden U19 conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

RB Leipzig U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RB Leipzig U19 VS Dresden U19
2.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

RB Leipzig U19

(Home)
17 Oct
RB Leipzig U19
5 : 1
Erfurt U19
13 Oct
RB Leipzig U19
1 : 6
PSV U19
10 Oct
RB Leipzig U19
3 : 2
Nurnberg U19
18 Sept
Dresden U19
1 : 3
RB Leipzig U19
13 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
1 : 2
RB Leipzig U19
Page 1 of 6

Dresden U19

(Away)
11 Oct
Furth U19
3 : 1
Dresden U19
26 Sept
Aue U19
1 : 3
Dresden U19
18 Sept
Dresden U19
1 : 3
RB Leipzig U19
05 Sept
Dresden U19
6 : 2
Erfurt U19
23 Aug
Nurnberg U19
1 : 3
Dresden U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Werder Bremen U19 7 5 1 1 19:10 16
2 Hamburger U19 7 5 0 2 19:12 15
3 Magdeburg U19 6 4 1 1 12:9 13
4 St. Pauli U19 7 3 1 3 12:13 10
5 Berliner AK 07 U19 8 3 0 5 13:19 9
6 Hansa Rostock U19 8 1 2 5 20:25 5
7 Holstein Kiel U19 7 1 1 5 12:19 4
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Berlin U19 8 7 1 0 24:7 22
2 Hallescher U19 7 4 1 2 16:13 13
3 Cottbus U19 7 4 0 3 16:9 12
4 Jena U19 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
5 Braunschweig U19 8 3 1 4 9:21 10
6 Hertha U19 7 3 0 4 15:12 9
7 Babelsberg U19 7 2 0 5 15:19 6
8 Chemnitzer U19 6 1 0 5 12:21 3
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RB Leipzig U19 8 7 0 1 27:10 21
2 Eintracht Frankfurt U19 7 5 1 1 25:9 16
3 Nurnberg U19 7 3 1 3 16:13 10
4 Dresden U19 8 3 0 5 17:19 9
5 Furth U19 6 2 1 3 8:13 7
6 Aue U19 7 2 0 5 9:23 6
7 Erfurt U19 7 1 1 5 8:23 4
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern U19 7 5 0 2 23:12 15
2 VfB Stuttgart U19 7 4 2 1 22:15 14
3 Munich 1860 U19 7 3 2 2 17:14 11
4 Ingolstadt U19 7 3 0 4 12:14 9
5 Unterhaching U19 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
6 Regensburg U19 7 2 1 4 10:15 7
7 Freiberg U19 6 1 1 4 7:18 4
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Freiburg U19 8 5 3 0 16:8 18
2 Heidenheim U19 8 5 2 1 23:10 17
3 Hoffenheim U19 8 4 2 2 25:11 14
4 Karlsruher U19 8 3 3 2 10:15 12
5 Sandhausen U19 8 2 2 4 15:26 8
6 Augsburg U19 8 2 1 5 9:13 7
7 Stuttgarter Kickers U19 8 1 3 4 16:29 6
8 Ulm U19 8 1 2 5 11:13 5
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Koln U19 7 6 1 0 24:4 19
2 Mainz U19 7 3 3 1 16:10 12
3 Darmstadt U19 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
4 Kaiserslautern U19 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
5 Fortuna Koln U19 7 1 3 3 9:13 6
6 Wehen U19 7 2 0 5 9:22 6
7 FSV Frankfurt U19 7 1 2 4 11:20 5
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leverkusen U19 7 7 0 0 24:7 21
2 Viktoria Koln U19 8 5 1 2 40:18 16
3 B. Monchengladbach U19 7 4 1 2 19:14 13
4 Bochum U19 7 4 0 3 23:14 12
5 Elversberg U19 7 2 1 4 8:22 7
6 Alemannia Aachen U19 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
7 Saarbrucken U19 8 0 0 8 5:37 0
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund U19 7 5 2 0 20:7 17
2 Duisburg U19 7 5 2 0 14:3 17
3 Dusseldorf U19 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
4 Schalke U19 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
5 RW Essen U19 7 2 2 3 13:17 8
6 VfL Osnabruck U19 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
7 Oberhausen U19 7 0 0 7 8:24 0
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hannover U19 7 6 0 1 22:10 18
2 Preussen Munster U19 7 6 0 1 20:8 18
3 Wolfsburg U19 7 5 0 2 25:8 15
4 Arminia Bielefeld U19 7 5 0 2 19:8 15
5 Meppen U19 7 2 0 5 8:19 6
6 Paderborn U19 7 1 0 6 9:20 3
7 TSV Havelse U19 8 0 0 8 2:32 0
Promotion - DFB Youth League (League A)
Relegation - DFB Youth League (League B)