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RB Leipzig vs Toulouse

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Club Friendly 2025 MS Technologie Arena, Villingen-Schwenningen
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Openda L.
19' Event
Schlager X.
22' Event
Bitshiabu E.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between RB Leipzig and Toulouse finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RB Leipzig.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
RB Leipzig
20%
Draws
36%
Toulouse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RB Leipzig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RB Leipzig come out ahead of Toulouse on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans RB Leipzig's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
RB Leipzig Clean Sheet 20%
Toulouse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RB Leipzig Toulouse
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
RB Leipzig vs Toulouse
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RB Leipzig Compare

Top Goalscorer Openda L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Schlager X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Toulouse Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RB Leipzig 85 / 100
Toulouse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RB Leipzig Toulouse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RB Leipzig Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RB Leipzig found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Toulouse let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Recent resilience: RB Leipzig stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RB Leipzig VS Toulouse
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

RB Leipzig

(Home)
20 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
RB Leipzig
13 Sept
RB Leipzig
5 : 0
Hamburger
10 Sept
Como
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1
RB Leipzig
29 Aug
RB Leipzig
3 : 0
B. Monchengladbach
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Toulouse

(Away)
19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2
Le Havre
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2
Toulouse
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1
Lille
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2
Toulouse
22 Aug
Toulouse
0 : 2
Lyon
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