Sport Picks
RB Leipzig W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
Germany
Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Red Bull Arena, Leipzig 
Match Events
4'
4'
Baum L.
Assist: Boboy D.
18'
18'
Kramer C.
Assist: Bender L.
38'
38'
Piljic K.
Assist: Fudalla V.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between RB Leipzig W and Bayer Leverkusen W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayer Leverkusen W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bayer Leverkusen W come out ahead of RB Leipzig W on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Bayer Leverkusen W's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Bayer Leverkusen W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
RB Leipzig W Clean Sheet 10%
Bayer Leverkusen W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | Bayer Leverkusen W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 19 |
| Draws | 8 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 2.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Bundesliga Women
RB Leipzig W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
0:2
May 11, 2026 Bundesliga Women
RB Leipzig W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
1:3
Dec 6, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs RB Leipzig W
3:2
May 3, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs RB Leipzig W
1:0
Nov 17, 2024 Bundesliga Women
RB Leipzig W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
RB Leipzig W Compare
Top Goalscorer Baum L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Bayer Leverkusen W Compare
Top Goalscorer Kramer C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Piljic K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
RB Leipzig W 22 / 100
Bayer Leverkusen W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
RB Leipzig W Bayer Leverkusen W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bayer Leverkusen W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: RB Leipzig W scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Bayer Leverkusen W let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: RB Leipzig W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
RB Leipzig W VS Bayer Leverkusen W
2.25 Goals Scored 3.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
RB Leipzig W
(Home) 20 Sept
Union Berlin W
3 : 2 RB Leipzig W
12 Sept
RB Leipzig W
2 : 1 1.FC Nurnberg W
05 Sept
Hamburger W
1 : 1 RB Leipzig W
30 Aug
Werder Bremen W
2 : 0 RB Leipzig W
23 Aug
RB Leipzig W
0 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen W
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
RB Leipzig W
2 : 1 1.FC Nurnberg W
23 Aug
RB Leipzig W
0 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen W
15 Aug
RB Leipzig W
10 : 1 Carl Zeiss Jena W
12 Aug
RB Leipzig W
1 : 2 Paris FC W
09 Aug
RB Leipzig W
1 : 1 PEC Zwolle W
Page 1 of 4
Bayer Leverkusen W
(Away) 20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen W
14 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen W
2 : 3 Bayern Munich W
04 Sept
Hoffenheim W
1 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen W
30 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen W
1 : 2 Wolfsburg W
23 Aug
RB Leipzig W
0 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen W
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen W
04 Sept
Hoffenheim W
1 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen W
23 Aug
RB Leipzig W
0 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen W
15 Aug
Standard Liege W
0 : 7 Bayer Leverkusen W
11 Jul
PSV W
1 : 0 Bayer Leverkusen W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 26 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 90:9 | 74 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 72:38 | 58 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 65:43 | 51 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim W | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 48:30 | 46 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 46:36 | 46 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen W | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 42:36 | 43 |
| 7 | Koln W | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 36:37 | 37 |
| 8 | Freiburg W | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 44:46 | 34 |
| 9 | Union Berlin W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:51 | 30 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig W | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 39:48 | 28 |
| 11 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 33:61 | 22 |
| 12 | Hamburger W | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26:57 | 18 |
| 13 | SGS Essen W | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22:63 | 16 |
| 14 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 26 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 22:72 | 11 |
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women (Main)
